538 Forecast: 2024 Presidential Election
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 Election Forecast from 538. It is current as of the map timestamp.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (75%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Pennsylvania Primaries
Pittsburgh's Mayor and the Philly DA will need to prevail against credible challengers to win renomination
Live Results: New York State Senate Special Election
A competitive race in this Brooklyn district to replace a conservative Democrat elected to City Council
Romanian Presidential Election Saga Ends Sunday
The election, between a centrist and hard-right nationalist, will have major implications on policy for this NATO and EU member country
Election Recap: May 13, 2025
Democrat John Ewing ousted three-term Republican mayor Jean Stothert
Live Results May 13: Omaha Mayor; Legislative Special Elections
Residents of Omaha will elect a mayor, while special elections in several states will help fill legislative vacancies
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