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2020 Margin of Victory
This isn’t a popularity contest™
This map shows the relative competitiveness of each state. It displays the margin between Biden and Trump for the 2020 presidential election. The tilt color is used for states decided by less than 5%; leans is 5-10%, likely 10-15% and safe >15%.
Democrats
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Headlines
Live Results: Texas Mayoral and Louisiana State House Special Elections
May 3, 2025
27 candidates are vying to be San Antonio's next mayor; the incumbent is termed-out
Sabato's Crystal Ball Initial 2025-26 Gubernatorial Ratings
May 1, 2025
38 seats will hold elections through 2026, including New Jersey and Virginia this year
Live Results: April 29 Iowa and Minnesota Legislative Special Elections
April 29, 2025
Vacancies will be filled in the Iowa State House and Minnesota State Senate
Rep. Andy Barr Running to Succeed Sen. Mitch McConnell
April 23, 2025
A closely-contested primary against former Attorney General Daniel Cameron is expected.
Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections
April 22, 2025
Three vacancies will be filled across these two states
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