2020 Election Competitive States

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This electoral map shows those states decided by 10% or less in popular vote in the 2020 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2024 presidential election forecast.

14 states, along with one district in each of Maine and Nebraska met this criteria. This is down from 17 states in 2016 as Colorado, New Mexico and Virginia exited the list. ME-2, decided by just over 10% in 2016, was added.

VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Alaska Ranked Choice Runoff Results

November 23, 2022

The tabulation will determine winners in the U.S. Senate and U.S. House races

House Update: Four Seats Uncalled; GOP Majority Will Have 220-222 Seats

November 19, 2022

The outcome of two of the races is all but certain, the other two - in California - could go either way

Republicans Clinch House Majority; Divided Government Returns to DC in January

November 16, 2022

It will be a narrow majority; eight seats remain to be called

Republicans Close to House Control: Uncalled Races Update for November 15

November 15, 2022

The next House seat the GOP wins will give them control of the chamber in the next Congress

Uncalled Races - November 14 Update

November 14, 2022

Two gubernatorial races along with 16 House races remain to be called.

What Happened in the States

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Georgia’s Runoff is the Opening Battle of the 2024 Senate Cycle

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Looking Back at the 2022 Projections

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Midterm 2022: Not a Referendum, But a Choice

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