2020 Election Competitive States
This isn’t a popularity contest™
This electoral map shows those states decided by 10% or less in popular vote in the 2020 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2024 presidential election forecast.
14 states, along with one district in each of Maine and Nebraska met this criteria. This is down from 17 states in 2016 as Colorado, New Mexico and Virginia exited the list. ME-2, decided by just over 10% in 2016, was added.
*Estimate pending results of 2020 Census
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VT |
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NH |
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MA |
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RI |
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CT |
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NJ |
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DE |
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MD |
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DC |
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Headlines
New and Updated Features on the 270toWin Website
The electoral map is changing for 2024. This update includes the projected changes as well as Senate and governor maps for 2022
Republican Claudia Tenney Wins NY-22; Final Undecided House Race from November
Democratic incumbent Anthony Brindisi conceded after New York state certified the election
Alabama Sen. Richard Shelby Won't Seek Reelection in 2022
The 6th term Republican is the longest serving Senator in the state's history
Update: 2020 Election if All States Allocated Electoral Votes Like Maine and Nebraska
Biden would have won a narrower 277-261 using this congressional district method, one which is heavily influenced by the number of gerrymandered districts around the country
Sabato's Crystal Ball Initial Ratings for 2022 Senate Election
Another tight battle for control appears on tap in the 2022 midterms
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