2020 Election Competitive States

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This electoral map shows those states decided by 10% or less in popular vote in the 2020 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2024 presidential election forecast.

14 states, along with one district in each of Maine and Nebraska met this criteria. This is down from 17 states in 2016 as Colorado, New Mexico and Virginia exited the list. ME-2, decided by just over 10% in 2016, was added.

no 2024 election
no 2024 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Long Island Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi Enters New York Gubernatorial Race

November 29, 2021

Pending redistricting shifts, the decision will make his district a GOP target in the midterm elections.

Rep. Louie Gohmert Running for Texas Attorney General Next Year

November 23, 2021

He's leaving a safe seat in an attempt to unseat incumbent Republican Ken Paxton

Live Results: Mississippi State Senate Special Election Runoff

November 23, 2021

No candidate received a majority of the vote on November 2; this runoff will fill a vacancy

Vermont Rep. Peter Welch Running to Replace Retiring Sen. Patrick Leahy

November 22, 2021

He has been the state's at-large House representative since being elected in 2006.

Texas Democratic Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson to Retire

November 20, 2021

Now in her 15th term, she represents a safely Democratic Dallas-area district

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