2020 Election Competitive States

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This electoral map shows those states decided by 10% or less in popular vote in the 2020 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2024 presidential election forecast.

14 states, along with one district in each of Maine and Nebraska met this criteria. This is down from 17 states in 2016 as Colorado, New Mexico and Virginia exited the list. ME-2, decided by just over 10% in 2016, was added.

VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Overview and Live Results: Tennessee Primary

August 4, 2022

Of particular interest is the GOP primary in U.S. House District 5, a Democratic-held seat made much more GOP-friendly in redistricting.

Overview and Live Results: Primaries in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, and Washington

August 2, 2022

There are a number of competitive primaries, as well as several where the nominee chosen may impact the competitiveness of the general election

Kansas Voters to Decide on State Abortion Amendment

August 2, 2022

This is the first time the issue has been in front of voters since the Supreme Court decision reversing Roe v. Wade

Live Results: Special Primaries in Kansas, Washington; Mayoral Election in Arizona

August 2, 2022

All three elections are running concurrently with the respective statewide primary

There are 100 Days Until the November 8 Midterm Elections

July 31, 2022

Contested that day will be 35 Senate seats, all 435 House seats, and 36 governorships

Reassessing the Race for the Senate

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Notes on the State of Politics: August 3, 2022

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House Rating Changes: More Movement Toward Republicans

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Notes on the State of Politics: July 27, 2022

Dear Readers: This is the latest edition of Notes...