2016 Election: Competitive States

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This electoral map shows those states decided by 10% or less in popular vote in the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2020 presidential election forecast.

Seventeen states, along with one district in Nebraska met this criteria, for a total of 229 electoral votes. Interestingly, the state of Maine was decided by less than 3% while Clinton and Trump each won one of the state's two districts by more than 10%.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2028 electoral votes will display)
no 2020 election
no 2020 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Sabato's Crystal Ball Initial 2025-26 Gubernatorial Ratings

May 1, 2025

38 seats will hold elections through 2026, including New Jersey and Virginia this year

Live Results: April 29 Iowa and Minnesota Legislative Special Elections

April 29, 2025

Vacancies will be filled in the Iowa State House and Minnesota State Senate

Rep. Andy Barr Running to Succeed Sen. Mitch McConnell

April 23, 2025

A closely-contested primary against former Attorney General Daniel Cameron is expected.

Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections

April 22, 2025

Three vacancies will be filled across these two states

Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens Running for U.S. Senate

April 22, 2025

She will look to succeed retiring fellow Democratic Sen. Gary Peters