2016 Election: Competitive States

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This electoral map shows those states decided by 10% or less in popular vote in the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2020 presidential election forecast.

Seventeen states, along with one district in Nebraska met this criteria, for a total of 229 electoral votes. Interestingly, the state of Maine was decided by less than 3% while Clinton and Trump each won one of the state's two districts by more than 10%.

no 2020 election
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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Minnesota 2nd Congressional District Election Delayed after Candidate Dies

September 24, 2020

The seat will be vacant from the start of the next Congress until after a February 9 special election

Interactive Map for the FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast

September 22, 2020

Updated every two hours until election day, this map will reflect the probabilistic model used by fivethirtyeight

The Road to 270: Texas

September 21, 2020

With a rapidly growing, highly-educated population, the Lone Star State is evolving into a major presidential and congressional battleground

Polling Map with No Toss-ups

September 16, 2020

This map shows who is leading in the polls in each state, regardless of the size of the margin

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The Trial-Heat and Convention Bump Forecasts of the 2020 Presidential Election

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The Dreaded 269-269 Scenario: An Update

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