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2012 Election: Very Close States
This isn’t a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. To
create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.
This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2012 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2016 forecast.
Only 4 states met this criteria in 2012, the fewest since Ronald Reagan's landslide win in the 1984 election. Tightly contested states have been on the decline in recent elections due to increased regional polarization.
Only 4 states met this criteria in 2012, the fewest since Ronald Reagan's landslide win in the 1984 election. Tightly contested states have been on the decline in recent elections due to increased regional polarization.
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Headlines
Tuesday Primaries in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin; Georgia Runoffs
August 11, 2020
Connecticut holds the final presidential primary of 2020 while a member of 'The Squad' faces a primary challenge in Minnesota.
The Road to 270: Minnesota
August 10, 2020
No state has had a longer period of voting Democratic in presidential elections. Donald Trump made it close in 2016, but the streak is likely to continue in 2020
Hawaii Primary: Overview and Live Results
August 8, 2020
Four Democrats are competing to replace the retiring Tulsi Gabbard. Both districts are safely Democratic in November.
Updated Inside Elections House Ratings
August 7, 2020
The forecaster made 29 changes Friday, moving 27 of them in the direction of Democrats
Who Will Succeed Lamar Alexander? Tennessee Primary Overview and Live Results
August 6, 2020
The only state in the nation with a Thursday downballot primary. The main contest of interest is the GOP nomination for U.S. Senate
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