2012 Election: Very Close States

This isn’t a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.
This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2012 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2016 forecast.

Only 4 states met this criteria in 2012, the fewest since Ronald Reagan's landslide win in the 1984 election. Tightly contested states have been on the decline in recent elections due to increased regional polarization.
no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:33 UTC (12:33 PM EDT)

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Tossup 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

The Road to 270: South Dakota

January 27, 2020

This deep red state has only voted Democratic in a presidential election four times since it was admitted to the union in 1889.

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January 25, 2020

The Vermont Senator received 25% support, up 6 points from the same poll in late October

Current Polling Averages: National and Four Early States

January 24, 2020

Biden has a small lead over Sanders nationally, but it's a four-way battle in Iowa

The Road to 270: Vermont

January 20, 2020

A deep-blue state today, but also one that voted Republican in 27 consecutive presidential elections

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