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2012 Election: Very Close States
This isn’t a popularity contest™
This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2012 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2016 forecast.
Only 4 states met this criteria in 2012, the fewest since Ronald Reagan's landslide win in the 1984 election. Tightly contested states have been on the decline in recent elections due to increased regional polarization.
Only 4 states met this criteria in 2012, the fewest since Ronald Reagan's landslide win in the 1984 election. Tightly contested states have been on the decline in recent elections due to increased regional polarization.
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
Democrats
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NH |
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MA |
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RI |
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CT |
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NJ |
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DE |
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MD |
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DC |
Map :
Headlines
Sabato's Crystal Ball Initial 2025-26 Gubernatorial Ratings
May 1, 2025
38 seats will hold elections through 2026, including New Jersey and Virginia this year
Live Results: April 29 Iowa and Minnesota Legislative Special Elections
April 29, 2025
Vacancies will be filled in the Iowa State House and Minnesota State Senate
Rep. Andy Barr Running to Succeed Sen. Mitch McConnell
April 23, 2025
A closely-contested primary against former Attorney General Daniel Cameron is expected.
Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections
April 22, 2025
Three vacancies will be filled across these two states
Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens Running for U.S. Senate
April 22, 2025
She will look to succeed retiring fellow Democratic Sen. Gary Peters
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