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2012 Election: Very Close States
This isn’t a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. To
create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.
This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2012 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2016 forecast.
Only 4 states met this criteria in 2012, the fewest since Ronald Reagan's landslide win in the 1984 election. Tightly contested states have been on the decline in recent elections due to increased regional polarization.
Only 4 states met this criteria in 2012, the fewest since Ronald Reagan's landslide win in the 1984 election. Tightly contested states have been on the decline in recent elections due to increased regional polarization.
Democrat
Republican
| VT | |
| NH | |
| MA | |
| RI | |
| CT | |
| NJ | |
| DE | |
| MD | |
| DC |
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:33 UTC (12:33 PM EDT)
Headlines
The Road to 270: South Dakota
January 27, 2020
This deep red state has only voted Democratic in a presidential election four times since it was admitted to the union in 1889.
Andrew Yang Qualifies for February 7 Democratic Debate
January 26, 2020
Entrepreneur returns to the stage after missing the cut in January
Poll: Sanders Takes Lead in Iowa Caucuses
January 25, 2020
The Vermont Senator received 25% support, up 6 points from the same poll in late October
Current Polling Averages: National and Four Early States
January 24, 2020
Biden has a small lead over Sanders nationally, but it's a four-way battle in Iowa
The Road to 270: Vermont
January 20, 2020
A deep-blue state today, but also one that voted Republican in 27 consecutive presidential elections
Trump Not Immune to the Usual Down-Ballot Presidential Penalty
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — After just three...
In the South, Congressional Black Caucus Members Win Uncommon Crossover
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Across the South,...
UVA Center for Politics, Decision Desk HQ Partner on 2020 Democratic Primary Delegate Count, Analysis
Decision Desk HQ and Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the...
Ratings Changes: Senate, House, and Governor
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The Kansas Senate...
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