2024 Iowa Republican Caucus
| Date: | January 15, 2024 |
| Delegates: | 40 |
| Allocation: | Proportional |
| Notes: | Caucus likely to lead off the calendar in mid-January. Allocation is proportional to vote at caucuses. However, if only one candidate is placed into nomination at the convention, all delegates become bound to that candidate. The state primary for offices other than president is June 4. |
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Polls
| Source | Date | Sample | Trump | DeSantis | Haley | Ramaswamy | Scott | Burgum | Pence | Christie | Elder | Hurd | Hutchinson | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll Averages† | 48.8% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | - | |||
| Trafalgar Group | 9/21/2023 | 1,079 LV ±2.9% | 49% | 16% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | |
| Fox Business | 9/20/2023 | 813 LV ±3% | 46% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | |
| Emerson College | 9/12/2023 | 357 RV ±5.1% | 49% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | - | - | 7% | |
| Civiqs | 9/08/2023 | 434 LV ±5.8% | 51% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | |
| Echelon Insights | 8/21/2023 | 800 LV ±4.2% | 33% | 17% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 17% | |
| Selzer & Company | 8/21/2023 | 406 LV ±4.9% | 42% | 19% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% | |
| Trafalgar Group | 8/18/2023 | 1,126 LV ±2.9% | 42% | 16% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 1% | - | 1% | 5% | |
| J.L. Partners | 8/10/2023 | 600 LV ±4% | 43% | 17% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 3% | - | 1% | 1% | 11% | |
| Siena College | 8/04/2023 | 432 LV ±5.9% | 44% | 20% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | |
| Manhattan Institute | 8/03/2023 | 639 LV ±3.9% | 42% | 17% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 0% | - | 1% | 8% | |
Show:
†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.
