2024 Iowa Republican Caucus

Date: January 15, 2024
Delegates: 40
Allocation:
  • Proportional to the statewide vote.
Notes:
  • The state primary for offices other than president is June 4.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
20


DeSantis
9


Haley
8


Ramaswamy
3

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Haley DeSantis Ramaswamy Other
Poll Averages† 52.5% 18.5% 15.7% 6.8% -
Trafalgar Group 1/15/2024 1,092 LV ±2.9% 52% 19% 19% 7% 3%
Emerson College 1/14/2024 532 LV ±4.2% 55% 21% 15% 5% 4%
Selzer & Company 1/13/2024 705 LV ±3.7% 48% 20% 16% 8% 8%
InsiderAdvantage 1/12/2024 850 LV ±4.3% 51% 17% 17% 7% 8%
Civiqs 1/11/2024 433 LV ±6.4% 55% 14% 14% 8% 9%
Suffolk University 1/11/2024 500 LV ±4.4% 54% 20% 13% 6% 7%
Trafalgar Group 1/10/2024 1,086 LV ±2.9% 52% 18% 18% 5% 7%
Fox Business 12/21/2023 804 LV ±3.5% 52% 16% 18% 7% 7%
Emerson College 12/20/2023 420 RV ±4.7% 50% 17% 15% 8% 10%
InsiderAdvantage 12/19/2023 850 LV ±4.4% 49% 17% 17% 5% 12%
Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.