2024 Republican Presidential Nomination

1,215 Delegates Needed to Win Nomination
The Republican Party will nominate a 2024 presidential candidate at its convention in Milwaukee the week of July 15, 2024.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
2,183


Haley
97


DeSantis
9


Ramaswamy
3

Delegate counts will be available beginning with the Iowa Caucus on January 15, 2024. A majority of the 2,429 delegates (1,215 or more) are needed to win the Republican nomination on the first ballot.

Visit the Republican Delegate Tracker for a breakdown of delegates earned by candidate and state.

The map below shows the estimated total number of delegates each state or territory will send to the Republican convention. Select a state on the map for more details about its primary or caucus. Each linked page will also include any available polling, along with results information as the event takes place.

VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
AS
GU
MP
PR
VI
Early Super Tuesday March 5 Other March April May June
197 865 719 314 240 94

Republican contests allocate pledged delegates in a variety of ways, ranging from winner-take-all to proportional. Some locations base the allocation on the statewide result only. Others use a combination of statewide and jurisdictional (usually by congressional district).

A winner-take-all allocation to a candidate getting a plurality of the popular vote is only permitted for contests scheduled after March 15. For earlier contests, it is allowed with certain threshold conditions attached, such as the example in the next paragraph.

Many states have additional rules based on how the vote turns out. For example, ‘winner-take-all if a candidate gets a majority, otherwise proportional to all candidates getting 20%’. Sometimes these rules are different for statewide delegates, and those allocated by congressional district. Visit The Greenpapers and FHQ for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Republican nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source Date Sample Trump DeSantis Haley Ramaswamy Other
Poll Averages† 63.6% 16.1% 10.7% 5.2% -
Emerson College 3/07/2024 578 RV 81% - 15% - 4%
Economist / YouGov 3/06/2024 586 RV 75% - 15% - 10%
Morning Consult 3/04/2024 3,804 RV ±2% 82% - 17% - 1%
TIPP Insights 3/04/2024 500 RV ±4.5% 79% - 11% - 10%
NY Times / Siena College 3/02/2024 292 RV 77% - 20% - 3%
Economist / YouGov 2/28/2024 601 RV 80% - 12% - 8%
Morning Consult 2/27/2024 3,756 RV ±2% 81% - 18% - 1%
Marquette Law School 2/22/2024 358 RV ±6.6% 73% 15% - - 12%
Quinnipiac 2/21/2024 576 RV ±4.1% 80% - 17% - 3%
Economist / YouGov 2/21/2024 564 RV - - 14% 79% 7%
Morning Consult 2/20/2024 3,854 RV ±2% 81% - 18% - 1%
Echelon Insights 2/16/2024 437 LV 79% - 18% - 3%
Emerson College 2/16/2024 524 RV 77% - 13% - 10%
Economist / YouGov 2/14/2024 557 RV 82% - 11% - 7%
Morning Consult 2/12/2024 3,827 RV ±2% 80% - 18% - 2%
Morning Consult 2/07/2024 3,752 RV ±2% 80% - 18% - 2%
Economist / YouGov 2/07/2024 559 RV 81% - 13% - 6%
TIPP Insights 2/07/2024 587 RV ±4.1% 74% - 17% - 9%
NBC News 2/04/2024 349 RV ±5.3% 79% - 19% - 2%
McLaughlin & Associates 2/01/2024 456 LV 81% - 19% - 0%
CNN 2/01/2024 442 RV 70% - 19% - 11%
Quinnipiac 1/31/2024 696 RV ±3.7% 77% - 21% - 2%
Economist / YouGov 1/31/2024 609 RV 73% - 17% - 10%
Yahoo / YouGov 1/30/2024 451 RV 79% - 14% - 7%
Emerson College 1/30/2024 571 RV 73% - 19% - 8%
Morning Consult 1/29/2024 4,044 RV ±2% 81% - 18% - 1%
Morning Consult 1/22/2024 3,855 RV ±2% 75% 12% 12% - 1%
Echelon Insights 1/22/2024 832 LV 68% 13% 13% - 6%
Redfield & Wilton 1/19/2024 618 LV 72% 9% 9% - 10%
Economist / YouGov 1/17/2024 588 RV 68% 10% 9% 4% 9%
Morning Consult 1/14/2024 3,926 RV ±2% 59% 11% 12% 5% 13%
CBS / YouGov 1/14/2024 721 LV 69% 14% 12% 4% 1%
TIPP Insights 1/11/2024 497 RV ±4.5% 65% 10% 10% 5% 10%
Noble Predictive Insights 1/10/2024 1,068 LV 61% 12% 13% 7% 7%
Economist / YouGov 1/10/2024 533 RV 65% 10% 12% 5% 8%
Morning Consult 1/09/2024 3,982 RV ±2% 65% 13% 11% 5% 6%
Morning Consult 1/03/2024 4,206 RV ±2% 66% 11% 11% 6% 6%
Economist / YouGov 1/03/2024 529 RV 63% 14% 8% 5% 10%
Suffolk University 1/02/2024 325 LV 62% 10% 13% 6% 9%
Echelon Insights 12/22/2023 443 LV 70% 9% 10% 5% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates 12/21/2023 454 LV 62% 11% 10% 4% 13%
Economist / YouGov 12/20/2023 544 RV 60% 17% 10% 4% 9%
Quinnipiac 12/20/2023 702 RV ±3.7% 67% 11% 11% 4% 7%
NY Times / Siena College 12/20/2023 380 LV 63% 9% 12% 4% 12%
Yahoo / YouGov 12/19/2023 446 RV 56% 15% 10% 3% 16%
Morning Consult 12/19/2023 3,457 RV ±2% 66% 11% 11% 6% 6%
Fox News 12/17/2023 402 RV ±5% 69% 12% 9% 5% 5%
Economist / YouGov 12/13/2023 520 RV 59% 13% 11% 4% 13%
Morning Consult 12/12/2023 3,527 RV ±2% 67% 13% 10% 6% 4%
Emerson College 12/08/2023 466 RV 64% 7% 14% 4% 11%
Wall Street Journal 12/07/2023 419 RV ±4.8% 59% 14% 15% 4% 8%
Monmouth University 12/06/2023 540 RV ±5.4% 58% 18% 12% 4% 8%
Morning Consult 12/05/2023 3,526 RV ±2% 66% 13% 10% 6% 5%
TIPP Insights 12/04/2023 567 RV ±4.7% 61% 9% 10% 7% 13%
Trafalgar Group 12/03/2023 1,084 LV ±2.9% 54% 17% 16% 4% 9%
Morning Consult 11/28/2023 3,944 RV ±2% 64% 14% 10% 6% 6%
Echelon Insights 11/22/2023 413 LV 61% 12% 12% 8% 7%
Emerson College 11/22/2023 662 RV 64% 8% 9% 5% 14%
McLaughlin & Associates 11/21/2023 453 LV 58% 11% 8% 8% 15%
Morning Consult 11/21/2023 3,619 RV ±2% 66% 13% 9% 7% 5%
NBC News 11/19/2023 317 RV ±5.5% 58% 18% 13% 3% 8%
Marquette Law School 11/16/2023 398 RV ±6.6% 54% 12% 12% 4% 18%
Fox News 11/15/2023 453 RV ±4.5% 62% 14% 11% 7% 6%
Yahoo / YouGov 11/15/2023 454 RV 54% 15% 10% 5% 16%
Economist / YouGov 11/15/2023 546 RV 57% 19% 9% 4% 11%
Quinnipiac 11/15/2023 686 RV ±3.7% 64% 16% 9% 4% 7%
Morning Consult 11/14/2023 3,681 RV ±2% 64% 14% 9% 6% 7%
TIPP Insights 11/09/2023 584 RV ±4.7% 54% 13% 6% 7% 20%
CNN 11/07/2023 608 RV 61% 17% 10% 4% 8%
Morning Consult 11/07/2023 3,873 RV ±2% 63% 15% 8% 7% 7%
CBS / YouGov 11/06/2023 552 LV ±5.5% 61% 18% 9% 5% 7%
Trafalgar Group 11/06/2023 1,089 LV ±2.9% - 13% 15% 4% 68%
Echelon Insights 11/01/2023 430 LV 62% 12% 7% 6% 13%
Economist / YouGov 11/01/2023 518 RV 56% 17% 8% 5% 14%
Quinnipiac 11/01/2023 666 RV ±3.8% 64% 15% 8% 3% 10%
Morning Consult 10/31/2023 3,912 RV ±2% 61% 13% 7% 7% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates 10/26/2023 449 LV 55% 8% 8% 7% 22%
Morning Consult 10/24/2023 3,876 RV ±2% 62% 13% 7% 6% 12%
Suffolk University 10/23/2023 309 RV 58% 12% 11% 3% 16%
Harvard Caps/Harris 10/20/2023 768 RV 60% 11% 7% 6% 16%
Emerson College 10/20/2023 728 RV 59% 8% 8% 3% 22%
Yahoo / YouGov 10/19/2023 486 RV 56% 16% 9% 2% 17%
Morning Consult 10/17/2023 3,600 RV ±2% 59% 14% 7% 7% 13%
CNN 10/12/2023 428 RV ±5.7% 58% 17% 8% 4% 13%
Fox News 10/11/2023 449 RV ±4.5% 59% 13% 10% 7% 11%
Cygnal 10/10/2023 865 LV ±3.3% 58% 9% 5% 10% 18%
Morning Consult 10/10/2023 3,636 RV ±2% 61% 12% 6% 9% 12%
TIPP Insights 10/06/2023 584 RV ±4.1% 54% 13% 6% 7% 20%
SurveyUSA 10/05/2023 1,055 LV ±3.4% 65% 9% 5% 8% 13%
Marquette Law School 10/04/2023 340 RV ±6.7% 56% 12% 6% 4% 22%
Economist / YouGov 10/04/2023 570 RV 58% 13% 7% 4% 18%
Morning Consult 10/02/2023 3,587 RV ±2% 61% 13% 7% 7% 12%
Echelon Insights 10/02/2023 402 LV ±4% 62% 11% 5% 10% 12%
InsiderAdvantage 10/02/2023 850 LV ±3.4% 50% 15% 14% 3% 18%
Economist / YouGov 9/27/2023 513 RV 53% 14% 7% 5% 21%
Monmouth University 9/26/2023 514 LV ±5.2% 55% 17% 7% 4% 17%
Morning Consult 9/25/2023 3,552 RV ±2% 58% 15% 7% 9% 11%
NBC News 9/24/2023 321 RV ±5.5% 59% 16% 7% 2% 16%
Wash. Post - ABC News 9/24/2023 474 RV ±5.5% 55% 16% 7% 3% 19%
Trafalgar Group 9/22/2023 1,091 LV ±2.9% 56% 14% 4% 6% 20%
Emerson College 9/20/2023 518 RV 59% 12% 3% 7% 19%
Yahoo / YouGov 9/19/2023 470 RV 59% 13% 5% 5% 18%
Morning Consult 9/19/2023 3,404 RV ±2% 59% 13% 6% 10% 12%
Fox News 9/14/2023 409 RV ±4.5% 60% 13% 5% 11% 11%
Economist / YouGov 9/13/2023 537 RV 53% 14% 5% 6% 22%
Quinnipiac 9/13/2023 728 RV ±3.6% 62% 12% 5% 6% 15%
Morning Consult 9/12/2023 3,715 RV ±2% 57% 14% 6% 9% 14%
TIPP Insights 9/11/2023 509 RV ±4.4% 60% 11% 3% 9% 17%
Redfield & Wilton 9/08/2023 529 LV 65% 9% 2% 10% 14%
Echelon Insights 9/06/2023 397 LV 52% 15% 4% 12% 17%
Premise Poll 9/06/2023 415 RV 61% 12% 5% 5% 17%
Morning Consult 9/06/2023 3,745 RV ±2% 60% 15% 5% 8% 12%
CNN 9/05/2023 784 RV ±4.4% 52% 18% 7% 6% 17%
Wall Street Journal 9/02/2023 600 LV ±4% 59% 13% 8% 5% 15%
Economist / YouGov 8/30/2023 520 RV 52% 16% 4% 6% 22%
Morning Consult 8/29/2023 3,617 RV 58% 14% 5% 10% 13%
Emerson College 8/28/2023 460 LV 50% 12% 7% 9% 22%
Kaplan Strategies 8/27/2023 868 LV ±3.3% 45% 10% 8% 13% 24%
InsiderAdvantage 8/25/2023 850 LV ±3.4% 45% 18% 11% 7% 19%
McLaughlin & Associates 8/24/2023 450 LV 51% 9% 3% 13% 24%
Yahoo / YouGov 8/22/2023 482 RV 52% 12% 3% 8% 25%
Premise Poll 8/22/2023 376 RV 60% 16% 3% 6% 15%
Echelon Insights 8/21/2023 1,017 LV 57% 12% 3% 15% 13%
Morning Consult 8/21/2023 3,608 RV ±2% 58% 14% 3% 10% 15%
InsiderAdvantage 8/20/2023 750 LV ±3.6% 51% 10% 5% 6% 28%
CBS / YouGov 8/20/2023 538 LV ±5.7% 62% 16% 2% 7% 13%
Emerson College 8/19/2023 465 LV 56% 10% 2% 10% 22%
Victory Insights 8/18/2023 825 LV ±3.5% 61% 12% 2% 4% 21%
JMC Analytics 8/17/2023 100 LV ±3% 52% 13% 3% 5% 27%
Trafalgar Group 8/17/2023 1,082 LV ±2.9% 55% 17% 4% 4% 20%
Fox News 8/16/2023 413 RV ±4.5% 53% 16% 4% 11% 16%
Quinnipiac 8/16/2023 681 RV ±3.8% 57% 18% 3% 5% 17%
Economist / YouGov 8/16/2023 527 RV 55% 16% 3% 4% 22%
Morning Consult 8/15/2023 3,064 RV ±2% 57% 16% 3% 9% 15%
Kaplan Strategies 8/14/2023 800 LV ±3.5% 48% 10% 4% 11% 27%
TIPP Insights 8/14/2023 529 RV ±4.3% 57% 12% 4% 8% 19%
Cygnal 8/10/2023 841 LV ±3.4% 53% 10% 3% 11% 23%
Fairleigh Dickinson 8/10/2023 806 LV ±3.5% 58% 15% 3% 3% 21%
Premise Poll 8/08/2023 401 RV 54% 18% 4% 7% 17%
Morning Consult 8/08/2023 3,486 RV ±2% 59% 16% 3% 8% 14%
Echelon Insights 8/01/2023 399 LV 56% 16% 2% 11% 15%
Morning Consult 8/01/2023 3,176 RV ±2% 58% 15% 3% 9% 15%
Siena College 7/31/2023 932 LV ±4% 54% 17% 3% 2% 24%
Marquette Law School 7/27/2023 348 RV ±5.8% 46% 22% 6% 1% 25%
Premise Poll 7/26/2023 368 RV 58% 17% 2% 5% 18%
McLaughlin & Associates 7/26/2023 452 LV 52% 13% 3% 8% 24%
Economist / YouGov 7/26/2023 498 RV 54% 18% 3% 6% 19%
Morning Consult 7/25/2023 3,576 RV ±2% 59% 16% 4% 8% 13%
Monmouth University 7/25/2023 681 LV ±5.9% 54% 22% 3% 5% 16%
JMC Analytics 7/23/2023 1,100 LV ±3% 53% 17% 3% 3% 24%
Yahoo / YouGov 7/19/2023 468 RV 48% 23% 3% 3% 23%
Quinnipiac 7/19/2023 727 RV ±3.6% 54% 25% 4% 2% 15%
Morning Consult 7/18/2023 3,630 RV ±2% 55% 20% 4% 8% 13%
Premise Poll 7/17/2023 355 RV 55% 20% 3% 4% 18%
TIPP Insights 7/17/2023 486 RV ±4.6% 53% 14% 3% 7% 23%
Economist / YouGov 7/12/2023 502 RV 48% 22% 3% 2% 25%
Morning Consult 7/11/2023 3,616 RV ±2% 56% 17% 3% 8% 16%
Echelon Insights 7/06/2023 413 LV 49% 16% 5% 10% 20%
Fox News 6/28/2023 391 RV ±5% 56% 22% 3% 5% 14%
Premise Poll 6/28/2023 478 RV 59% 21% 3% 1% 16%
Morning Consult 6/27/2023 3,650 RV ±2% 57% 19% 3% 6% 15%
NBC News 6/25/2023 500 RV ±4.4% 51% 22% 4% 3% 20%
Yahoo / YouGov 6/22/2023 466 RV 48% 24% 2% 2% 24%
Emerson College 6/22/2023 362 LV 59% 21% 4% 2% 14%
Morning Consult 6/21/2023 3,521 RV ±2% 57% 20% 3% 3% 17%
McLaughlin & Associates 6/20/2023 454 LV 52% 19% 4% 2% 23%
CNN 6/20/2023 561 RV 47% 26% 5% 1% 21%
Premise Poll 6/14/2023 576 RV 54% 24% 3% 1% 18%
Economist / YouGov 6/14/2023 488 RV 51% 21% 4% 1% 23%
Quinnipiac 6/14/2023 700 RV ±3.7% 53% 23% 4% 3% 17%
Suffolk University 6/13/2023 245 LV 48% 23% 4% - 25%
Morning Consult 6/13/2023 3,419 RV ±2% 59% 19% 3% 3% 16%
TIPP Insights 6/12/2023 482 RV ±4.6% 55% 19% 3% 2% 21%
CBS / YouGov 6/11/2023 586 LV 61% 23% 3% 1% 12%
Morning Consult 6/06/2023 3,545 RV ±2% 56% 22% 3% 3% 16%
Yahoo / YouGov 6/01/2023 432 RV 53% 25% 3% 3% 16%
Premise Poll 6/01/2023 563 RV 54% 23% 3% 1% 19%
Morning Consult 5/31/2023 3,485 RV ±2% 56% 22% 4% 4% 14%
Echelon Insights 5/26/2023 390 LV 49% 19% 5% 8% 19%
Marquette Law School 5/24/2023 377 RV ±6.1% 46% 25% 5% 3% 21%
CNN 5/24/2023 476 RV 53% 26% 6% 1% 14%
Quinnipiac 5/24/2023 669 RV ±3.8% 56% 25% 3% 1% 15%
Fox News 5/24/2023 410 RV ±4.5% 53% 20% 4% 4% 19%
McLaughlin & Associates 5/24/2023 446 LV 54% 16% 3% 4% 23%
Rasmussen Reports 5/17/2023 996 LV ±3% 62% 17% 5% 2% 14%
Premise Poll 5/16/2023 612 RV 57% 22% 3% 1% 17%
TIPP Insights 5/15/2023 469 RV ±5% 55% 17% 4% 4% 20%
Yahoo / YouGov 5/10/2023 451 RV 48% 28% 4% 4% 16%
Wash. Post - ABC News 5/07/2023 438 RV ±5.5% 45% 20% 1% 0% 34%
Premise Poll 5/02/2023 583 RV 57% 22% 4% 1% 16%
CBS / YouGov 5/01/2023 587 LV 58% 22% 4% 5% 11%
Echelon Insights 4/28/2023 418 LV 50% 23% 5% 4% 18%
Emerson College 4/27/2023 445 LV ±4.6% 62% 16% 3% 3% 16%
Fox News 4/26/2023 412 RV ±4.5% 53% 21% 4% 3% 19%
NBC News 4/23/2023 292 LV ±6% 46% 31% 3% 2% 18%
Yahoo / YouGov 4/21/2023 444 RV 49% 25% 6% 3% 17%
Wall Street Journal 4/21/2023 600 LV ±4% 48% 24% 5% 2% 21%
InsiderAdvantage 4/02/2023 550 LV ±4.2% 57% 24% 5% 1% 13%
Trafalgar Group 4/02/2023 1,123 LV ±2.9% 56% 23% 4% 1% 16%
Echelon Insights 3/31/2023 370 LV 49% 26% 4% 1% 20%
Yahoo / YouGov 3/31/2023 318 RV 52% 21% 5% 1% 21%
Quinnipiac 3/29/2023 671 RV ±3.8% 47% 33% 4% 1% 15%
Fox News 3/29/2023 423 RV ±4.5% 54% 24% 3% 1% 18%
Monmouth University 3/21/2023 521 LV ±6.6% 41% 27% 3% - 29%
Quinnipiac 3/15/2023 677 LV ±3.8% 46% 32% 5% 0% 17%
CNN 3/14/2023 963 RV ±3.8% 40% 36% 6% - 18%
Emerson College 2/28/2023 465 LV 55% 25% 5% - 15%
Fox News 2/26/2023 412 RV ±4.5% 43% 28% 7% - 22%
Echelon Insights 2/24/2023 419 LV 46% 31% 6% 0% 17%
McLaughlin & Associates 2/23/2023 441 LV 42% 26% 6% 1% 25%
Quinnipiac 2/16/2023 592 RV ±4% 42% 36% 5% - 17%
Public Policy 2/14/2023 446 LV 42% 36% 6% - 16%
Yahoo / YouGov 2/10/2023 453 RV 37% 35% 5% - 23%
Monmouth University 2/09/2023 566 RV ±6.1% 33% 33% 1% - 33%
North Star Opinion Research 1/31/2023 1,000 LV ±3.1% 28% 39% 4% - 29%
Echelon Insights 1/27/2023 413 LV 36% 34% 2% - 28%
McLaughlin & Associates 1/24/2023 457 RV 43% 31% 3% - 23%
Yahoo / YouGov 1/18/2023 450 RV 37% 36% 1% - 26%
UMass Amherst 1/14/2023 346 RV 37% 34% 3% - 26%

†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.