2024 Republican Presidential Nomination

1,215 Delegates Needed to Win Nomination
The Republican Party will nominate a 2024 presidential candidate at its convention in Milwaukee the week of July 15, 2024.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
244


Haley
43


DeSantis
9


Ramaswamy
3

Delegate counts will be available beginning with the Iowa Caucus on January 15, 2024. A majority of the 2,429 delegates (1,215 or more) are needed to win the Republican nomination on the first ballot.

Visit the Republican Delegate Tracker for a breakdown of delegates earned by candidate and state.

The map below shows the estimated total number of delegates each state or territory will send to the Republican convention. Select a state on the map for more details about its primary or caucus. Each linked page will also include any available polling, along with results information as the event takes place.

VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
AS
GU
MP
PR
VI
Early Super Tuesday March 5 Other March April May June
197 865 719 314 240 94

Republican contests allocate pledged delegates in a variety of ways, ranging from winner-take-all to proportional. Some locations base the allocation on the statewide result only. Others use a combination of statewide and jurisdictional (usually by congressional district).

A winner-take-all allocation to a candidate getting a plurality of the popular vote is only permitted for contests scheduled after March 15. For earlier contests, it is allowed with certain threshold conditions attached, such as the example in the next paragraph.

Many states have additional rules based on how the vote turns out. For example, ‘winner-take-all if a candidate gets a majority, otherwise proportional to all candidates getting 20%’. Sometimes these rules are different for statewide delegates, and those allocated by congressional district. Visit The Greenpapers and FHQ for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Republican nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source Date Sample Trump Haley DeSantis Ramaswamy Other
Poll Averages† 78.2% 16.8% 15.0% - -
NY Times / Siena College 3/02/2024 292 RV 77% 20% - - 3%
Economist / YouGov 2/28/2024 601 RV 80% 12% - - 8%
Morning Consult 2/27/2024 3,756 RV ±2% 81% 18% - - 1%
Marquette Law School 2/22/2024 358 RV ±6.6% 73% - 15% - 12%
Quinnipiac 2/21/2024 576 RV ±4.1% 80% 17% - - 3%
Economist / YouGov 2/21/2024 564 RV - 14% - 79% 7%
Morning Consult 2/20/2024 3,854 RV ±2% 81% 18% - - 1%
Echelon Insights 2/16/2024 437 LV 79% 18% - - 3%
Emerson College 2/16/2024 524 RV 77% 13% - - 10%
Economist / YouGov 2/14/2024 557 RV 82% 11% - - 7%
Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.