National 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Biden vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 45.4% 46.6% -
Morning Consult 3/04/2024 6,334 RV ±1% 44% 43% 13%
TIPP Insights 3/04/2024 1,246 RV ±2.8% 43% 42% 15%
CBS / YouGov 3/03/2024 1,436 LV ±3.5% 48% 52% 0%
Wall Street Journal 3/03/2024 1,500 RV ±2.5% 45% 47% 8%
Fox News 3/03/2024 1,262 RV ±2.5% 47% 49% 4%
NY Times / Siena College 3/02/2024 980 RV ±3.5% 43% 48% 9%
Economist / YouGov 2/28/2024 1,497 RV ±3.2% 44% 44% 12%
Morning Consult 2/27/2024 6,224 RV ±1% 43% 44% 13%
Harvard Caps/Harris 2/26/2024 2,022 RV 42% 48% 10%
Bullfinch Group 2/23/2024 1,000 RV ±3.1% 38% 41% 21%
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Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 37.2% 1.8% 13.2% 2.4% 40.0% -
TIPP Insights 3/04/2024 1,246 RV ±2.8% 38% 1% 9% 2% 38% 12%
Fox News 3/03/2024 1,262 RV ±2.5% 38% 2% 13% 3% 41% 3%
Harvard Caps/Harris 2/26/2024 2,022 RV 33% 1% 14% 1% 42% 9%
Marquette Law School 2/22/2024 787 RV ±4.5% 39% 2% 15% 3% 42% -1%
Quinnipiac 2/21/2024 1,421 RV ±2.6% 38% 3% 15% 3% 37% 4%
Echelon Insights 2/16/2024 1,015 LV ±3.8% 37% 2% 8% 2% 42% 9%
Emerson College 2/16/2024 1,225 RV ±2.7% 38% 1% 7% 1% 40% 13%
Cygnal 2/15/2024 1,501 LV ±2.5% 39% - 13% - 41% 7%
Redfield & Wilton 2/15/2024 1,220 LV 41% - 8% - 42% 9%
TIPP Insights 2/07/2024 1,266 RV ±2.8% 34% 1% 8% 2% 40% 15%
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Biden vs. Haley

Source Date Sample Biden Haley Other
Average of 5 Polls† 39.4% 43.8% -
Fox News 3/03/2024 1,262 RV ±2.5% 42% 50% 8%
NY Times / Siena College 3/02/2024 980 RV ±3.5% 35% 45% 20%
Harvard Caps/Harris 2/26/2024 2,022 RV 41% 39% 20%
Marquette Law School 2/22/2024 787 RV ±4.5% 36% 39% 25%
Quinnipiac 2/21/2024 1,421 RV ±2.6% 43% 46% 11%
NPR/PBS/Marist 2/07/2024 1,441 RV ±3.6% 46% 45% 9%
NBC News 2/04/2024 1,000 RV ±3.1% 36% 45% 19%
YouGov 2/02/2024 850 RV 39% 38% 23%
CNN 2/01/2024 983 RV ±3.8% 39% 52% 9%
Quinnipiac 1/31/2024 1,650 RV ±2.4% 42% 47% 11%
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†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.