National 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 11 Polls† 45.5% 47.3% -
Wall Street Journal 7/26/2024 1,000 LV ±3.1% 47% 49% 4%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 7/25/2024 1,170 RV ±3.2% 44% 46% 10%
Morning Consult 7/25/2024 11,297 RV ±1% 46% 45% 9%
NY Times / Siena College 7/25/2024 1,142 LV ±3.4% 47% 48% 5%
CNN 7/24/2024 1,631 RV ±3% 46% 49% 5%
Economist / YouGov 7/24/2024 1,435 RV ±3.1% 41% 44% 15%
Florida Atlantic U. 7/23/2024 711 LV 44% 49% 7%
Yahoo / YouGov 7/23/2024 1,178 RV 46% 46% 8%
NPR/PBS/Marist 7/23/2024 1,117 LV ±3.5% 45% 46% 9%
Quinnipiac 7/22/2024 1,257 RV ±2.8% 47% 49% 4%
Morning Consult 7/22/2024 4,001 RV ±2% 45% 47% 8%
Echelon Insights 7/22/2024 982 LV ±3.8% 47% 49% 4%
CBS / YouGov 7/18/2024 2,247 RV ±2.7% 48% 51% 1%
SurveyUSA 7/17/2024 1,098 LV ±3.3% 42% 45% 13%
Manhattan Institute 7/17/2024 2,100 LV ±2.7% 46% 48% 6%
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Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 8 Polls† 42.1% 1.0% 5.6% 0.7% 0.4% 44.0% -
Wall Street Journal 7/26/2024 1,000 LV ±3.1% 45% 1% 4% 1% 0% 44% 5%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 7/25/2024 1,170 RV ±3.2% 44% 1% 4% 0% - 46% 5%
NY Times / Siena College 7/25/2024 1,142 LV ±3.4% 44% 0% 5% 0% 0% 43% 8%
Economist / YouGov 7/24/2024 1,435 RV ±3.1% 41% 1% 5% 1% - 44% 8%
Florida Atlantic U. 7/23/2024 711 LV 39% - 9% - - 45% 7%
Yahoo / YouGov 7/23/2024 1,178 RV 41% 1% 5% 1% 1% 43% 8%
NPR/PBS/Marist 7/23/2024 1,117 LV ±3.5% 42% 1% 7% 1% 0% 42% 7%
Quinnipiac 7/22/2024 1,257 RV ±2.8% 41% 2% 6% 1% 1% 45% 4%
Manhattan Institute 7/17/2024 2,100 LV ±2.7% 36% 1% 6% 1% 1% 44% 11%
Economist / YouGov 7/17/2024 1,398 RV ±3% 39% 2% 5% 1% - 44% 9%
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Biden vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 12 Polls† 44.3% 46.3% -
Morning Consult 7/18/2024 9,414 RV ±1% 42% 46% 12%
CBS / YouGov 7/18/2024 2,247 RV ±2.7% 47% 52% 1%
Emerson College 7/18/2024 2,000 RV ±2.1% 42% 46% 12%
SurveyUSA 7/17/2024 1,098 LV ±3.3% 43% 44% 13%
Manhattan Institute 7/17/2024 2,100 LV ±2.7% 45% 48% 7%
Economist / YouGov 7/17/2024 1,398 RV ±3% 41% 43% 16%
Noble Predictive Insights 7/16/2024 2,535 RV ±2% 42% 45% 13%
Redfield & Wilton 7/16/2024 2,621 LV 42% 43% 15%
Morning Consult 7/15/2024 11,328 RV ±1% 42% 44% 14%
Fox News 7/14/2024 1,210 RV ±3% 48% 49% 3%
NBC News 7/14/2024 800 RV ±3.5% 43% 45% 12%
Noble Predictive Insights 7/13/2024 2,300 LV ±2.1% 43% 46% 11%
NPR/PBS/Marist 7/12/2024 1,174 LV ±3.3% 50% 48% 2%
Wash. Post - ABC News 7/11/2024 2,041 RV ±2% 46% 46% 8%
George Washington U. 7/10/2024 2,750 RV ±2% 44% 42% 14%
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Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 7 Polls† 40.0% 2.0% 8.3% 1.5% 0.7% 42.7% -
Emerson College 7/18/2024 2,000 RV ±2.1% 38% 1% 7% 1% 0% 44% 9%
Noble Predictive Insights 7/16/2024 2,535 RV ±2% 38% 1% 8% 1% - 42% 10%
Redfield & Wilton 7/16/2024 2,621 LV 42% - 6% - - 43% 9%
Fox News 7/14/2024 1,210 RV ±3% 41% 3% 10% 1% - 44% 1%
NBC News 7/14/2024 800 RV ±3.5% 37% 3% 10% 1% 2% 40% 7%
Noble Predictive Insights 7/13/2024 2,300 LV ±2.1% 40% 1% 7% 1% - 43% 8%
NPR/PBS/Marist 7/12/2024 1,174 LV ±3.3% 42% 2% 8% 3% 0% 43% 2%
Wash. Post - ABC News 7/11/2024 2,041 RV ±2% 42% 2% 9% 2% - 43% 2%
George Washington U. 7/10/2024 2,750 RV ±2% 44% 1% 5% 1% - 42% 7%
Data for Progress 7/10/2024 2,067 LV ±2% 40% 1% 10% 1% 1% 41% 6%
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†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.