National 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 13 Polls† 48.1% 46.5% -
The Times (UK) / YouGov 9/12/2024 1,161 RV 46% 45% 9%
Morning Consult 9/12/2024 3,204 LV ±2% 50% 45% 5%
Reuters / Ipsos 9/12/2024 1,405 RV ±3% 47% 42% 11%
New York Post / Leger 9/11/2024 1,174 LV ±2.7% 50% 47% 3%
Cygnal 9/11/2024 1,510 LV ±2.5% 49% 47% 4%
Economist / YouGov 9/11/2024 1,462 LV ±3.1% 45% 45% 10%
Kaiser Family Foundation 9/10/2024 1,084 RV ±4% 48% 47% 5%
NPR/PBS/Marist 9/10/2024 1,413 LV ±3.3% 49% 48% 3%
Morning Consult 9/09/2024 10,607 LV ±1% 49% 46% 5%
Pew Research 9/09/2024 8,044 RV ±1.4% 49% 49% 2%
Harvard Caps/Harris 9/09/2024 2,358 RV ±2.1% 46% 47% 7%
NY Times / Siena College 9/08/2024 1,695 LV ±2.8% 47% 48% 5%
RMG Research 9/06/2024 2,701 LV ±1.9% 50% 48% 2%
Morning Consult 9/05/2024 11,414 LV ±1% 49% 46% 5%
Emerson College 9/05/2024 1,000 LV ±3% 49% 47% 4%
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Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 45.6% 0.8% 1.5% 0.6% 1.5% 45.4% -
The Times (UK) / YouGov 9/12/2024 1,161 RV 46% 0% - 0% - 45% 9%
Cygnal 9/11/2024 1,510 LV ±2.5% 46% 1% 3% 1% 1% 44% 4%
Economist / YouGov 9/11/2024 1,462 LV ±3.1% 45% 1% - 1% - 45% 8%
Harvard Caps/Harris 9/09/2024 2,358 RV ±2.1% 46% 1% - 1% - 46% 6%
NY Times / Siena College 9/08/2024 1,695 LV ±2.8% 45% 1% 0% 0% 2% 47% 5%
TIPP Insights 9/02/2024 1,386 RV ±2.8% 47% 1% 4% 1% - 43% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 9/02/2024 2,089 LV ±2% 44% 1% - - 1% 42% 12%
ABC News / Ipsos 9/01/2024 N/A 50% 1% - 1% 1% 45% 2%
Reuters / Ipsos 8/29/2024 3,562 LV ±1.7% 44% 1% 6% 1% 1% 40% 7%
Wall Street Journal 8/29/2024 1,500 RV ±2.5% 47% 1% - 1% 1% 45% 5%
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Biden vs. Trump

Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 12 Polls† 44.3% 46.3% -
Morning Consult 7/18/2024 9,414 RV ±1% 42% 46% 12%
CBS / YouGov 7/18/2024 2,247 RV ±2.7% 47% 52% 1%
Emerson College 7/18/2024 2,000 RV ±2.1% 42% 46% 12%
SurveyUSA 7/17/2024 1,098 LV ±3.3% 43% 44% 13%
Manhattan Institute 7/17/2024 2,100 LV ±2.7% 45% 48% 7%
Economist / YouGov 7/17/2024 1,398 RV ±3% 41% 43% 16%
Noble Predictive Insights 7/16/2024 2,535 RV ±2% 42% 45% 13%
Redfield & Wilton 7/16/2024 2,621 LV 42% 43% 15%
Morning Consult 7/15/2024 11,328 RV ±1% 42% 44% 14%
Fox News 7/14/2024 1,210 RV ±3% 48% 49% 3%
NBC News 7/14/2024 800 RV ±3.5% 43% 45% 12%
Noble Predictive Insights 7/13/2024 2,300 LV ±2.1% 43% 46% 11%
NPR/PBS/Marist 7/12/2024 1,174 LV ±3.3% 50% 48% 2%
Wash. Post - ABC News 7/11/2024 2,041 RV ±2% 46% 46% 8%
George Washington U. 7/10/2024 2,750 RV ±2% 44% 42% 14%
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Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 7 Polls† 40.0% 2.0% 8.3% 1.5% 0.7% 42.7% -
Emerson College 7/18/2024 2,000 RV ±2.1% 38% 1% 7% 1% 0% 44% 9%
Noble Predictive Insights 7/16/2024 2,535 RV ±2% 38% 1% 8% 1% - 42% 10%
Redfield & Wilton 7/16/2024 2,621 LV 42% - 6% - - 43% 9%
Fox News 7/14/2024 1,210 RV ±3% 41% 3% 10% 1% - 44% 1%
NBC News 7/14/2024 800 RV ±3.5% 37% 3% 10% 1% 2% 40% 7%
Noble Predictive Insights 7/13/2024 2,300 LV ±2.1% 40% 1% 7% 1% - 43% 8%
NPR/PBS/Marist 7/12/2024 1,174 LV ±3.3% 42% 2% 8% 3% 0% 43% 2%
Wash. Post - ABC News 7/11/2024 2,041 RV ±2% 42% 2% 9% 2% - 43% 2%
George Washington U. 7/10/2024 2,750 RV ±2% 44% 1% 5% 1% - 42% 7%
Data for Progress 7/10/2024 2,067 LV ±2% 40% 1% 10% 1% 1% 41% 6%
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†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
National Winner
Election Winner
Never
Never
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