July is a quiet month on the election calendar. Tuesday brings us the Delaware and New Jersey presidential primaries, rescheduled from April 28. There are also congressional primaries in New Jersey.
Looking ahead, Louisiana and Puerto Rico1 have scheduled presidential primaries this weekend. That wraps up the presidential primary calendar, except for Connecticut (August 11).
Next Tuesday, July 14, there are congressional primaries in Maine and primary runoff elections in Alabama and Texas.
14 states hold non-presidential primaries in August, with another four closing out the calendar in the first half of September.
While you are waiting for the results, try out our new 2020 presidential election simulator.
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||Delaware, New Jersey
Results by State
President: There are 21 pledged delegates available in the Democratic presidential primary.
There's also a GOP primary.
Delaware's downballot primaries are scheduled for September 15.
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President: There are 126 pledged delegates available in the Democratic presidential primary.
On the Republican ballot, Donald Trump is unopposed.
Senate: Cory Booker has drawn a nominal primary challenge. He should have little trouble winning both that and another six-year term in November.
House: On the way to taking control of the House, Democrats flipped four seats here in the 2018 midterms.2 That temporarily left the delegation with just a single GOP representative, Mike Smith (NJ-4). Democratic Rep. Jeff Van Drew switched parties in the wake of impeachment late last year, making the current count ten Democrats, 2 Republicans. There are several interesting races to watch, starting with Van Drew's 2nd district.
District 2: The district covers South Jersey and is the largest by land area in the state. Van Drew was elected (as a Democrat) by 8%, flipping a district Donald Trump won by about 5%. Although Van Drew has Trump's support, he has drawn a primary challenge from conservative Bob Patterson. It is worth noting that the last House Democrat to switch, Parker Griffith (AL-5) in 2009, lost the 2010 GOP primary and was unsuccessful in subsequent efforts to regain public office.
Van Drew's defection has created an opening on the Democratic side, with several vying for the nomination. The general election is seen as competitive, with a consensus rating of Leans Republican.
District 3: This district stretches across the south-central part of the state, including both Philadelphia suburbs and coastal areas. Another Democratic gain in 2018, Andy Kim won by just 1% over incumbent Republican Tom MacArthur. It was the closest House race in the state that year. Kim is unopposed for renomination. Two Republicans are looking to take him on in this district that Trump won by 6 points in 2016. One of them, David Richter, was originally going to run in District 2. He shifted to this race after Van Drew joined the GOP and earned Trump's support.
The general election is expected to be competitive with a consensus of Leans Democratic.
District 5: The Democratic primary in this far North Jersey district may be more interesting than the general election. In 2016, Democrat Josh Gottheimer ousted seven-term Republican Scott Garrett by 5 points; he won reelection in 2018 by about 14 points. A relatively conservative Democrat, Gottheimer has attracted a primary challenge from the left. That progressive challenger, Arati Kreibich, has been endorsed by Bernie Sanders. Gottheimer has a 10-1 fundraising advantage and is favored, but it is one to keep an eye on.
The general election is seen as Likely Democratic at this time.
District 7: Republicans have recruited a marquee name in an attempt to win back this district in the north-central portion of the state. Assuming he wins Tuesday's primary, Senate minority leader Tom Kean, Jr. will meet incumbent Democrat Tom Malinowski in November. Kean is the son of former Gov. Tom Kean, and part of a political family that goes back many generations.
Malinowski defeated Republican Leonard Lance by 5% here in 2018. The general election consensus is Leans Democratic.
District 8: This oddly shaped, deep blue district runs along the Hudson River to points west including parts of Newark and Elizabeth. Albio Sires won his 8th term by a 60 point margin in 2018. This year, he's facing a primary challenge from progressive lawyer Hector Oseguera, whose campaign has picked up momentum in recent weeks. As in District 5, the incumbent is favored, but the race bears watching.
All New Jersey Results >>
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