Super Tuesday: Latest Polling, Live Results, and Overview

March 3, 2020

Live Results

President - Democratic Primaries President - Republican Primaries

 

The following states hold their regular primary elections as well. We'll have results for any contested Senate, House or gubernatorial races. 

Alabama California North Carolina Texas

Arkansas also has non-presidential primaries; there are no contested races we are tracking.


Polls Close (Eastern Time)

Your individual polling place may have different hours. Do not rely on this to determine when to vote. Total Democratic pledged delegates by closing time are displayed.

7:00 PM 115 Vermont (16), Virginia (99)
7:30 PM 110 North Carolina (110)
8:00 PM 268 Alabama (52), Maine (24), Massachusetts (91), Oklahoma (37), Tennessee (64), Texas* 
8:30 PM 31 Arkansas (31)
9:00 PM 370 Colorado (67), Minnesota (75); Texas* (228)
10:00 PM 29 Utah (29)
11:00 PM 415 California (415)
Other 19 American Samoa (6) Democrats Abroad (13)

*Polls close 7:00 PM local time. That's 8:00 PM ET in all but the far western part of the state.


Democratic Polling Averages & Delegate Estimates

There are two new surveys for each of the 14 states that vote today. This gives us more information, particularly in places where polling was minimal or non-existent. The smaller field is likely to increase the number of candidates hitting the 15% threshold in several states, which will flatten the distribution of delegates. 

For polling detail, click or tap the image below and select a state on the linked page. 

Click or tap the image below for the interactive delegate calculator.


Recommended Reading

How to Watch Super Tuesday Like a Pro - This Politico article succinctly analyzes the Democratic presidential primary in each state.

California Overview - Sanders is likely to win the overall vote here, but this demographically diverse state will likely yield more split results in the 53 districts that combine for 271 delegates. Analysis from FiveThirtyEight.

Slow Results from the West - Several western states have largely transitioned to vote-by-mail. While it may mean more voter participation, it can slow the results.  Article from NPR.

Congressional Races to Watch - Jeff Sessions wants his old job back, as do a few other familiar names. Two incumbents in Texas are facing competitive primaries.  Analysis from Roll Call.

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Cook Political Updates 12 House Ratings

The forecaster sees Democrats gaining between five and 15 seats in the 2020 election

The Road to 270: Iowa

After swinging sharply to Donald Trump in 2016, the state is among the most competitive in 2020. A closely-contested Senate race may help determine control of that chamber.

Interactive Map for the FiveThirtyEight House Forecast

Currently at 233 seats - 218 needed - Democrats have a high probability of retaining control after the 2020 election.

The Road to 270: Florida

The Sunshine State's competitiveness and large electoral bounty will once again play a pivotal role in the 2020 election.

Sabato's Crystal Ball Updates Election Outlook

Changes made to the electoral map, as well as to individual races for Senate, House and Governor.