February 14, 2020
Polling from Nevada is very infrequent; this is the first we've seen since the middle of January.
Bernie Sanders leads Joe Biden by seven points in The Nevada PollTM, conducted by WPA Intelligence, that was released Friday. Sanders saw 25% support to Biden's 18%; both candidates are polling statewide above the 15% threshold for winning delegates. Also in double-digits are the four other candidates actively campaigning here: Elizabeth Warren (13%), Tom Steyer (11%), Pete Buttigieg (10%) and Amy Klobuchar (10%).
Thus far, five of these six candidates have qualified for the debate next Wednesday at Paris Las Vegas. Tom Steyer is on the outside at this point; he has until February 18 to qualify via polling. Given the lack of accredited polling leading up to the deadline, Steyer has asked the DNC to expand the window for qualifying polls to earlier in January. Separately, although not on the Nevada ballot, Mike Bloomberg is just one poll away from making the stage.
Early caucus voting begins Saturday and concludes Tuesday. The regular caucuses will take place next Saturday. 36 pledged delegates will be allocated based on the results. Yesterday, the State Democratic Party released details on how the vote will be transmitted, as it looks to avoid a results debacle like the one in Iowa earlier this month.