Trump Trails 2020 Democrats in Michigan; Voters Oppose Impeachment

We're tracking general election polls. Filter by state and/or prospective Democratic nominee.

Donald Trump trails in Michigan, one of the 'blue wall' states he flipped to win the 2016 presidential election, a new poll finds. The survey of 600 likely voters shows the two leading Democrats, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, with a double-digit lead over Trump. The race becomes more competitive against three other prospective nominees.

Trump won Michigan by 0.23% over Hillary Clinton in 2016; the closest margin in the nation. It was the first time the state had voted for a Republican since George H.W. Bush won here in 1988.

Impeachment

While the poll shows Michigan voters appear lukewarm on giving Trump another four years, they also seem inclined to let the president complete his term.  The same set of likely voters opposed impeachment by 53-40%, although they were split evenly on whether Trump had obstructed justice.

The Amash Factor

The pollster, Glengariff Group, also looked at Biden vs. Trump if Michigan Rep. Justin Amash was in the race as the Libertarian nominee. Amash received nationwide attention recently by becoming the first - and only -GOP member of Congress to say Trump's conduct met the threshold for impeachment. 

The survey found Amash would receive 10% of the vote, with Biden's lead over Trump dropping from 12 points to six. Interestingly, most of the Amash support would come from Biden, with Trump only losing two points, going from 41% to 39%.

 

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Polling Map for Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Polls are still limited for the nascent general election match-up, but will become more plentiful in the weeks ahead

Updating the 270toWin Website After Biden's Withdrawal

The site will be updated with tools to reflect an expected contest with Vice President Harris as the Democratic nominee

Update on U.S. House Vacancies

The death of Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee created a third open seat; Republicans hold a 220-212 partisan edge

Live Results: New Jersey 10th Congressional District Special Primary

The winner of the September 18 special election will complete the term of the late Donald Payne Jr.

Introducing the 2024 Presidential Election Simulator

Run a simulated Biden - Trump election or view the results of 25,000 daily simulations