Ratings Update: More Republican-Held House Races Seen Competitive in 2018

May 11, 2017

Passage of the American Health Care Act (AHCA) and President Trump's unpopularity are combining to make many more Republican House seats look competitive in the 2018 midterm elections, according to a new analysis from Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball. They have moved the ratings of 18 seats in the direction of Democrats, including 13 that have moved into the lean/toss-up category. 

 

All but two of these Republicans voted for the AHCA. See how your/any Representative voted for AHCA alongside the competitiveness of their race here.

With six seats being moved to the toss-up category, Republicans remain favored in 230 House seats, 12 more than the 218 needed to hold control. The party currently holds 238 seats, with three previously Republican-held seats now vacant, to be filled in special elections by mid-year.

For more, see the 2018 House Interactive Map.

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Unanimous Supreme Court Says States Can Punish or Replace Faithless Electors

Settles various court cases emerging from the 2016 election that saw 10 electors attempt to be faithless to their pledged candidate

The Road to 270: South Carolina

Bordered by two competitive 2020 states (NC and GA), the state seems safe for Trump. It remains to be seen if his coattails help reelect Graham and/or regain SC-1

Rep. Scott Tipton Ousted in CO-3 GOP Primary

Becomes 5th incumbent to lose this year

Overview and Live Results for June 30 Primaries in Colorado, Oklahoma and Utah

A handful of interesting races to watch, including Dem. Senate primary in Colorado and a very tight GOP gubernatorial race in Utah.

Amy McGrath Wins Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary

McGrath held off a late challenge from Charles Booker