Polling Update: September 18 through 21
September 21, 2016
The map below summarizes the states where polls have been released since Sunday. Coloring reflects the survey results. Within five points is shown as toss-up, while a spread of greater than 10 points yields the darkest blue/red. The lighter blue/red is for spreads of 6-10 points.
The full list of recent presidential polls can be found here, with the full set of polling averages also available.
In this recent batch of polls, Trump is doing better than might be expected in several blue states, including Wisconsin (Clinton +2), Maine (Clinton +5, but Trump +5 in 2nd District) and Minnesota (Clinton +6). Clinton is performing better in Florida (Clinton +5) and New Hampshire (Clinton +9) than in other recent polling.
Headlines
Tuesday Primaries in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin; Georgia Runoffs
Connecticut holds the final presidential primary of 2020 while a member of 'The Squad' faces a primary challenge in Minnesota.
The Road to 270: Minnesota
No state has had a longer period of voting Democratic in presidential elections. Donald Trump made it close in 2016, but the streak is likely to continue in 2020
Hawaii Primary: Overview and Live Results
Four Democrats are competing to replace the retiring Tulsi Gabbard. Both districts are safely Democratic in November.
Updated Inside Elections House Ratings
The forecaster made 29 changes Friday, moving 27 of them in the direction of Democrats
Who Will Succeed Lamar Alexander? Tennessee Primary Overview and Live Results
The only state in the nation with a Thursday downballot primary. The main contest of interest is the GOP nomination for U.S. Senate
