Final Iowa Polling Averages

The polling is (should be) done, and the vote takes place tonight at the Iowa caucuses. 

Republicans: Donald Trump has led in all recent polls, averaging a four point margin over Ted Cruz in the last five polls. Rubio has been gaining some momentum in recent surveys, although the 'gold star' Iowa poll out over the weekend had him well back of Cruz and Trump. It wouldn't be terribly surprising if there was a very close 3-way battle tonight; perhaps with Trump, Cruz and Rubio finishing within 5% of each other.

Democrats: Polls have varied widely in this race, although many of the most recent ones have shown a slight lead for Hillary Clinton. It appears that turnout for the Sanders campaign will be crucial in determining whether the Vermont Senator can score an important early win. Either way, it is looking good for Sanders in next week's New Hampshire primary. A new poll out this AM has him up by 31 points over Clinton.

 

 

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Overview and Live Results: Hawaii Primary

Open Seats for Governor and Congressional District 2; Democratic nominees will be heavy favorites in November

Republican Brad Finstad Sworn In to the U.S. House; Democrats Hold 220-211 Edge in Seats

Finstad won a special election earlier this week to fill a vacancy in Minnesota's First District

Live Results: Special Election in MN-01; Primaries in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont, and Wisconsin

Several compelling storylines; the most competitive primary appears to be for the GOP gubernatorial nomination in Wisconsin.

Overview and Live Results: Tennessee Primary

Of particular interest is the GOP primary in U.S. House District 5, a Democratic-held seat made much more GOP-friendly in redistricting.

Overview and Live Results: Primaries in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, and Washington

There are a number of competitive primaries, as well as several where the nominee chosen may impact the competitiveness of the general election