2016 Iowa Republican Caucus

Date:	February 1, 2016
Delegates:	30
Allocation:	Proportional

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned

Cruz
8

Trump
7

Rubio
7

Carson
3

Fiorina
1

Bush
1

Paul
1

Kasich
1

Huckabee
1

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Polls

Source		Date	Sample	Trump	Cruz	Kasich	Other
Poll Averages†				28.2%	23.3%	2.7%	-
	Emerson College	2/01/2016	298 LV ±5.6%	27%	26%	4%	43%
	Quinnipiac	2/01/2016	890 LV ±4.4%	31%	24%	2%	43%
	Opinion Savvy	1/31/2016	887 LV ±3.2%	20%	19%	4%	57%
	Bloomberg / Des Moines Register	1/30/2016	602 LV ±4%	28%	23%	2%	47%
	NBC News / WSJ / Marist	1/28/2016	450 LV ±4.6%	32%	25%	2%	41%
	Public Policy	1/28/2016	780 LV ±3.5%	31%	23%	2%	44%
	Monmouth University	1/27/2016	500 LV ±4.4%	30%	23%	3%	44%
	Quinnipiac	1/26/2016	651 LV ±3.8%	31%	29%	1%	39%
	American Research Group	1/25/2016	400 LV ±5%	33%	26%	3%	38%
	YouGov / CBS	1/24/2016	492 LV ±7.2%	39%	34%	1%	26%
	Fox News	1/24/2016	378 LV ±5%	34%	23%	2%	41%
	Monmouth College	1/21/2016	687 LV ±3.7%	25%	27%	3%	45%
	Loras College	1/21/2016	500 LV ±4.4%	26%	25%	4%	45%
	Emerson College	1/21/2016	271 LV ±5.9%	33%	23%	3%	41%
	CNN \| ORC	1/21/2016	266 LV ±6%	37%	26%	1%	36%
	Gravis Marketing	1/14/2016	422 LV ±5%	34%	28%	4%	34%
	Bloomberg / Des Moines Register	1/13/2016	500 LV ±4.4%	22%	25%	2%	51%
	Public Policy	1/12/2016	530 LV ±4.3%	28%	26%	3%	43%
	Quinnipiac	1/11/2016	602 LV ±4%	31%	29%	2%	38%
	American Research Group	1/11/2016	400 LV ±5%	29%	25%	3%	43%
	NBC News/ Marist	1/10/2016	456 LV ±4.6%	24%	28%	2%	46%
	Fox News	1/08/2016	504 LV ±4%	23%	27%	1%	49%
	Gravis Marketing	12/23/2015	440 LV ±5%	31%	31%	2%	36%
	YouGov / CBS	12/20/2015	534 LV ±6.9%	31%	40%	1%	28%
	Public Policy	12/15/2015	522 LV ±4.3%	28%	25%	2%	45%
	Quinnipiac	12/14/2015	874 LV ±3.3%	28%	27%	1%	44%
	Loras College	12/14/2015	499 LV ±4.4%	23%	30%	1%	46%
	Fox News	12/13/2015	450 LV ±4.5%	26%	28%	1%	45%
	Bloomberg / Des Moines Register	12/12/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	21%	31%	2%	46%
	Monmouth University	12/07/2015	425 LV ±4.8%	19%	24%	3%	54%
	CNN \| ORC	12/07/2015	552 LV ±4%	33%	20%	1%	46%
	Quinnipiac	11/24/2015	600 LV ±4%	25%	23%	1%	51%
	YouGov / CBS	11/22/2015	658 LV ±6.2%	30%	21%	1%	48%
	CNN \| ORC	11/06/2015	548 LV ±4%	25%	11%	2%	62%
	Monmouth College	11/02/2015	874 LV ±3.4%	20%	15%	2%	63%
	Public Policy	11/02/2015	638 LV ±3.9%	22%	14%	2%	62%
	Loras College	10/26/2015	500 LV ±4.4%	19%	6%	1%	74%
	Monmouth University	10/26/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	18%	10%	2%	70%
	YouGov / CBS	10/25/2015	529 LV	27%	12%	2%	59%
	Bloomberg / Des Moines Register	10/23/2015	401 LV ±4.9%	19%	10%	2%	69%
	Quinnipiac	10/22/2015	574 LV ±4.1%	20%	10%	3%	67%
	NBC News / WSJ / Marist	10/04/2015	431 LV ±4.7%	24%	6%	3%	67%
	Public Policy	9/22/2015	488 LV ±4.4%	24%	8%	2%	66%
	YouGov / CBS	9/13/2015	705 LV ±5.7%	29%	10%	2%	59%
	Quinnipiac	9/11/2015	1,038 LV ±3%	27%	9%	5%	59%
	NBC News/ Marist	9/06/2015	390 RV ±5%	29%	4%	2%	65%
	Loras College	9/01/2015	502 LV ±4.4%	25%	7%	3%	65%
	Gravis Marketing	9/01/2015	507 LV ±4.4%	32%	7%	1%	60%
	Monmouth University	8/31/2015	405 LV ±4.9%	23%	9%	4%	64%
	Bloomberg / Des Moines Register	8/29/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	23%	8%	2%	67%
	CNN \| ORC	8/12/2015	544 LV ±4%	22%	8%	2%	68%
	Suffolk University	8/11/2015	500 LV ±4.4%	17%	7%	3%	73%
	Public Policy	8/10/2015	619 LV ±3.9%	19%	9%	3%	69%
	Gravis Marketing	7/31/2015	227 LV ±6.5%	31%	6%	5%	58%
	NBC News/ Marist	7/26/2015	342 RV ±5.3%	17%	4%	2%	77%
	Monmouth University	7/20/2015	452 LV ±4.6%	13%	7%	2%	78%
	Monmouth College	7/07/2015	1,000 LV ±3.1%	7%	8%	1%	84%
	Quinnipiac	7/01/2015	666 LV ±3.8%	10%	9%	2%	79%
	Morning Consult	6/14/2015	294 LV ±6%	5%	4%	-	91%
	Gravis Marketing	6/03/2015	364 RV ±5%	-	6%	-	94%
	Bloomberg / Des Moines Register	5/30/2015	402 LV ±4.9%	4%	5%	2%	89%
	Quinnipiac	5/06/2015	667 LV ±3.8%	-	12%	2%	86%
	Public Policy	4/28/2015	462 RV ±4.6%	-	8%	-	92%
	Loras College	4/28/2015	509 LV ±4.3%	3%	7%	1%	89%
	Gravis Marketing	4/21/2015	388 RV ±5%	-	6%	-	94%
	Quinnipiac	2/25/2015	623 LV ±3.9%	-	5%	0%	95%
	Gravis Marketing	2/17/2015	343 RV	-	4%	-	96%
	NBC News/ Marist	2/15/2015	320 RV ±5.5%	-	2%	-	98%
	Bloomberg / Des Moines Register	2/01/2015	402 LV ±4.9%	1%	5%	1%	93%
	Loras College	1/31/2015	316 LV ±5.5%	-	5%	1%	94%
	Gravis Marketing	1/13/2015	404 RV	-	7%	-	93%

Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

2016 Iowa Republican Caucus

Estimated Delegates Earned

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