Polls Continue to Indicate a Four Way Battle for GOP Nomination

November 19, 2015

There are still 14 Republicans vying for the party's 2016 nomination, but four seem to be preferred by the majority of Republican voters, based on most ecent polls. At the top, 'outsiders' Donald Trump continues to hold a small lead over Ben Carson, now about 5 points in the 270toWin average. Senators Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz are basically tied for 3rd, with support averaging in the low double-digits. 

Two polls out today, from Bloomberg and Public Policy, maintain these trends.

Looking past the top four, Jeb Bush seems to be in his own grouping, well back of Rubio and Cruz, but well ahead of the five candidates averaging around 3%.

With the holiday season upon us, the race for the nomination may quiet down for a few weeks with fewer polls and only one debate scheduled (December 15 in Las Vegas). As a result, absent any major gaffes, the relative position of the candidates may not change much until the race really kicks into high gear in early January, preceding the first primary/caucus events in early February

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Texas 6th District Special Election Scheduled for July 27

Two Republicans advanced in the May 1 primary, taking the suspense out of which party will win the seat

Update on U.S. House Vacancies After Swearing In of Troy Carter

Democrats hold a 219-212 advantage; this will grow by one later in the week when GOP Rep. Steve Stivers steps down

Overview and Live Results: Mayoral Elections in Omaha and Anchorage

Although officially nonpartisan, both of these races feature a Democrat vs. Republican match-up.

New York Times Endorses Kathryn Garcia for NYC Mayor

Party primaries are June 22; the November winner will succeed termed-out mayor Bill de Blasio

Cincinnati Mayoral Primary Overview and Live Results

Incumbent mayor is termed out; top two finishers will advance to November 2 general election