2016 Republican Presidential Nomination

1,237 Delegates Needed to Win

The Republican Party will nominate a 2016 presidential candidate at its convention in Cleveland the week of July 18, 2016. Primary and caucus events will go through early June.

Estimated Delegates Earned

Trump
1543

Cruz
559

Rubio
165

Kasich
161

Carson
7

Bush
4
1,237 delegates needed to win. Not shown: Huckabee, Fiorina and Paul (one each). Candidates in red have withdrawn from the race. Delegate Counts: New York Times

The map below shows the number of delegates each state will send to the Republican convention. Use the filters below the map to view it in different ways. Click a state to see polling detail and an overview of its primary or caucus.

National Polls | 2016 Election & Debate Calendar | Who’s Ahead in Each State | Candidate Delegate Maps
2016 Republican Delegates
1,237 Needed for Nomination
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
9 9 9
AS GU MP
23 9
PR VI
February Super Tues March 2-31 April May June
133 595 868 374 199 303



2,472
Delegates
100%
% of Total

Select a radio button to display the map along the chosen dimension. Use the drop-down boxes to limit the display to specific time, type or allocation method. The number of delegates and percentage of all 2,472 delegates associated with your options will display. Information is estimated and subject to change. Some states have an extended process for choosing delegates; the time used on the map is generally the start of the process. Allocation methods and contest types are categorized based on best fit; select a state on the map for more detail and links to external resources. Special thanks to Greenpapers and FHQ for making it a lot easier to aggregate the data. Visit those sites for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.


The results of national polling for a preferred Republican nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.
National Polls
  New!   Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
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Source Date Sample Trump Cruz Kasich Other
Poll Averages* 45.2% 28.6% 19.2%
5/05/2016 740 RV 44% 25% 20% 11%
5/02/2016 406 RV ±5% 49% 25% 19% 7%
4/29/2016 397 RV ±5% 48% 29% 16% 7%
4/25/2016 292 LV ±5.7% 45% 29% 17% 9%
4/18/2016 310 LV ±5.6% 40% 35% 24% 1%
4/14/2016 399 LV ±6% 42% 29% 18% 11%
4/14/2016 419 LV ±4.5% 45% 27% 25% 3%
 
4/07/2016 676 RV 37% 31% 23% 9%
4/06/2016 444 RV ±4.7% 40% 35% 20% 5%
 
4/04/2016 388 LV ±5.1% 38% 31% 19% 12%
 
3/31/2016 834 RV ±3.9% 41% 32% 20% 7%
3/29/2016 505 LV ±4.4% 42% 32% 22% 4%
3/23/2016 652 LV ±3.8% 43% 29% 16% 12%
3/23/2016 353 RV ±5.2% 41% 29% 18% 12%
3/23/2016 366 LV ±5.1% 40% 31% 25% 4%
 
3/23/2016 388 LV ±5% 41% 38% 17% 4%
 
3/21/2016 397 LV ±5% 47% 31% 17% 5%
3/21/2016 362 LV 46% 26% 20% 8%
3/18/2016 719 LV ±4% 43% 28% 21% 8%
3/08/2016 340 RV ±5.5% 34% 25% 13% 28%
 
3/08/2016 397 LV ±4.9% 30% 27% 22% 21%
 
2/29/2016 427 LV ±5% 49% 15% 6% 30%
 
2/25/2016 400 LV ±5% 31% 20% 7% 42%
 
2/23/2016 697 LV ±4% 36% 17% 12% 35%
 
2/18/2016 581 LV ±5% 35% 18% 11% 36%
 
2/18/2016 404 RV ±4.5% 36% 19% 8% 37%
 
2/17/2016 602 RV ±4% 39% 18% 6% 37%
 
2/17/2016 358 LV ±5.2% 35% 20% 7% 38%
 
2/17/2016 400 LV ±4.9% 26% 28% 11% 35%
 
2/08/2016 725 LV 31% 20% 6% 43%
 
2/05/2016 507 LV ±4.4% 31% 22% 3% 44%
 
2/04/2016 531 LV ±4.3% 25% 21% 5% 49%
 
1/28/2016 395 RV ±5% 31% 21% 2% 46%
 
1/27/2016 1020 LV ±3.1% 34% 12% 4% 50%
 
1/26/2016 356 RV ±5.5% 37% 21% 2% 40%
 
1/26/2016 405 RV ±5% 41% 19% 1% 39%
 
1/22/2016 405 LV ±4.5% 34% 20% 4% 42%
 
1/20/2016 385 RV ±5% 36% 17% 3% 44%
 
1/14/2016 400 LV ±4.9% 33% 20% 3% 44%
 
1/12/2016 442 LV 36% 19% 2% 43%
 
1/11/2016 414 RV ±4.9% 34% 18% 2% 46%
 
1/08/2016 423 RV ±5% 35% 20% 2% 43%
 
12/23/2015 438 RV ±4.5% 39% 18% 2% 41%
 
12/22/2015 508 RV 28% 24% 1% 47%
 
12/21/2015 415 LV ±4.8% 36% 21% 3% 40%
 
12/18/2015 532 LV ±4.3% 34% 18% 2% 46%
 
12/18/2015 402 RV ±5% 39% 18% 2% 41%
 
12/18/2015 624 LV ±4% 29% 18% - 53%
 
12/15/2015 362 RV ±6% 38% 15% 2% 45%
 
12/14/2015 385 RV ±5% 41% 14% 3% 42%
 
12/13/2015 400 LV ±4.9% 27% 22% 2% 49%
 
12/10/2015 431 LV 35% 16% 3% 46%
 
12/08/2015 357 LV ±5.2% 27% 17% 2% 54%
 
12/07/2015 394 LV ±5% 27% 13% 2% 58%
 
12/04/2015 445 RV ±4.5% 36% 16% 2% 46%
 
12/02/2015 672 RV ±3.8% 27% 16% 2% 55%
 
11/22/2015 373 RV ±6% 32% 8% 3% 57%
 
11/22/2015 434 LV 28% 14% 2% 56%
 
11/19/2015 379 RV ±5% 24% 9% 3% 64%
 
11/19/2015 607 RV ±4% 26% 14% 3% 57%
11/16/2015 318 LV ±6.4% 31% 13% 4% 52%
 
11/13/2015 672 LV ±4% 27% 13% - 60%
 
11/09/2015 431 LV ±4.7% 23% 8% 4% 65%
 
11/04/2015 502 RV ±4.4% 24% 13% 3% 60%
 
11/04/2015 476 RV ±4.5% 26% 11% 4% 59%
 
11/02/2015 400 LV ±4.9% 23% 10% 3% 64%
 
10/30/2015 402 RV ±5% 28% 6% - 66%
 
10/27/2015 575 RV ±6% 22% 4% 4% 70%
 
10/21/2015 364 RV ±6% 32% 6% 2% 60%
 
10/20/2015 465 RV ±4.5% 27% 4% 3% 66%
 
10/20/2015 348 RV ±5.3% 28% 10% 1% 61%
 
10/19/2015 400 LV ±4.9% 25% 9% 3% 63%
 
10/13/2015 398 RV 24% 10% 1% 65%
 
10/11/2015 419 LV ±5% 27% 9% 2% 62%
 
10/06/2015 627 LV ±3.9% 27% 7% 4% 62%
 
10/02/2015 496 RV 25% 6% 1% 68%
 
10/02/2015 377 RV 17% 6% 4% 73%
 
9/30/2015 380 LV ±5% 23% 6% 2% 69%
 
9/27/2015 230 LV ±6.5% 21% 5% 6% 68%
 
9/24/2015 737 RV ±3.6% 25% 7% 2% 66%
 
9/24/2015 391 RV ±5% 21% 5% 4% 70%
 
9/23/2015 398 LV 26% 8% 4% 62%
 
9/20/2015 444 RV ±4.5% 24% 6% 2% 68%
 
9/15/2015 376 RV ±6% 27% 5% 3% 65%
 
9/14/2015 342 RV ±6% 33% 7% 3% 57%
 
9/10/2015 474 RV ±4.5% 32% 7% 2% 59%
 
9/03/2015 366 RV ±5.1% 30% 8% 2% 60%
 
9/01/2015 572 LV ±4.1% 29% 6% 6% 59%
 
8/27/2015 666 RV ±3.8% 28% 7% 5% 60%
8/25/2015 3567 RV ±2% 40% 7% 5% 48%
 
8/18/2015 466 RV ±4.5% 24% 5% 5% 66%
 
8/16/2015 381 LV 25% 10% 4% 61%
 
8/11/2015 651 LV ±4% 17% 7% 4% 72%
 
8/10/2015 746 RV ±3.6% 32% 4% 3% 61%
 
8/04/2015 500 RV ±4.4% 21% 4% 4% 71%
 
8/04/2015 364 LV 24% 6% 1% 69%
 
8/03/2015 423 RV ±4.8% 26% 6% 3% 65%
 
8/03/2015 475 LV 26% 6% 3% 65%
 
8/02/2015 252 LV ±6.2% 19% 9% 3% 69%
 
7/30/2015 710 RV ±3.7% 20% 5% 5% 70%
 
7/30/2015 471 LV ±5% 26% 7% 5% 62%
 
7/26/2015 419 RV ±5% 18% 7% 4% 71%
 
7/22/2015 524 LV ±4.3% 19% 4% 3% 74%
 
7/20/2015 N/A 24% 4% 2% 70%
 
7/16/2015 389 LV 18% 4% 2% 76%
 
7/14/2015 349 LV ±5.3% 17% 6% 1% 76%
 
7/13/2015 336 RV ±5.4% 13% 9% 1% 77%
 
7/06/2015 473 RV ±4.5% 15% 5% - 80%
 
7/01/2015 368 RV ±5% 12% 3% 3% 82%
 
6/24/2015 378 LV ±5% 11% 4% 2% 83%
 
6/22/2015 236 LV ±6.4% 1% 4% 1% 94%
 
6/16/2015 492 RV ±4.4% - 8% - 92%
 
6/15/2015 351 RV ±5.2% 2% 5% 1% 92%
 
6/03/2015 370 LV 4% 8% 2% 86%
 
6/02/2015 N/A 5% 7% 3% 85%
 
6/02/2015 483 AV ±4.5% 3% 8% 1% 88%
 
5/28/2015 679 RV ±3.8% 5% 6% 2% 87%
 
5/13/2015 685 LV ±3.7% - 10% - 90%
 
5/13/2015 413 RV 4% 6% 2% 88%
 
5/07/2015 690 RV - 5% 4% 91%
 
5/04/2015 251 RV ±6.2% - 11% - 89%
 
4/24/2015 383 RV 5% 8% 2% 85%
 
4/23/2015 567 RV ±4.1% - 9% 2% 89%
 
4/20/2015 435 AV ±4.5% - 7% 2% 91%
 
4/14/2015 369 AV 1% 7% 1% 91%
4/02/2015 N/A - 12% 1% 87%
 
4/02/2015 379 LV 3% 10% 1% 86%
 
4/01/2015 443 RV ±4.7% - 16% - 84%
 
3/30/2015 429 LV ±4.7% - 9% 1% 90%
 
3/18/2015 450 AV ±4.5% - 4% 2% 94%
 
3/06/2015 426 RV ±4.7% - 4% - 96%
 
3/05/2015 554 RV ±4.2% - 6% 1% 93%
 
2/24/2015 316 LV ±5.5% - 5% - 95%
 
2/18/2015 436 AV ±4.5% - 3% 2% 95%
 
1/30/2015 400 LV ±4.9% - 9% - 91%
 
1/29/2015 394 RV ±4.5% - 4% 1% 95%
 
12/28/2014 453 AV ±4.5% - 4% 3% 93%
 
12/16/2014 392 RV - 5% 2% 93%
 
12/16/2014 410 RV ±5.5% - 8% 2% 90%
Show: 10 20 All

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five.



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