2016 Republican Presidential Nomination

1,237 Delegates Needed to Win

The Republican Party will nominate a 2016 presidential candidate at its convention in Cleveland the week of July 18, 2016. Primary and caucus events will go through early June.

Estimated Delegates Earned

Trump
1,543

Cruz
559

Rubio
165

Kasich
161

Carson
7

Bush
4

Fiorina
1

Huckabee
1

Paul
1

1,237 delegates needed to win. Not shown: Huckabee, Fiorina and Paul (one each). Delegate Counts: New York Times

The map below shows the number of delegates each state will send to the Republican convention. Use the filters below the map to view it in different ways. Click a state to see polling detail and an overview of its primary or caucus.

MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

	AS
	GU
	MP

	PR
	VI

February	Super Tues	March 2-31	April	May	After May
133	595	868	374	199	303

Primary	Caucus

Proportional	Threshold	WTA (Split)	Winner Take All	Other
Proportional	Threshold	WTA (Split)	Winner Take All	Other

Select a radio button to display the map along the chosen dimension. Use the drop-down boxes to limit the display to specific time, type or allocation method. The number of delegates and percentage of all 2,472 delegates associated with your options will display. Information is estimated and subject to change. Some states have an extended process for choosing delegates; the time used on the map is generally the start of the process. Allocation methods and contest types are categorized based on best fit; select a state on the map for more detail and links to external resources. Special thanks to Greenpapers and FHQ for making it a lot easier to aggregate the data. Visit those sites for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Republican nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source		Date	Sample	Trump	Cruz	Kasich	Other
Poll Averages†				45.2%	28.6%	19.2%	-
	Pew Research	5/05/2016	740 RV	44%	25%	20%	11%
	CNN \| ORC	5/02/2016	406 RV ±5%	49%	25%	19%	7%
	IBD/TIPP	4/29/2016	397 RV ±5%	48%	29%	16%	7%
	Suffolk University	4/25/2016	292 LV ±5.7%	45%	29%	17%	9%
	NBC News / WSJ	4/18/2016	310 LV ±5.6%	40%	35%	24%	1%
	CBS News	4/14/2016	399 LV ±6%	42%	29%	18%	11%
	Fox News	4/14/2016	419 LV ±4.5%	45%	27%	25%	3%
	PRRI / The Atlantic	4/07/2016	676 RV	37%	31%	23%	9%
	McClatchy - Marist	4/06/2016	444 RV ±4.7%	40%	35%	20%	5%
	IBD/TIPP	4/04/2016	388 LV ±5.1%	38%	31%	19%	12%
	Pew Research	3/31/2016	834 RV ±3.9%	41%	32%	20%	7%
	Public Policy	3/29/2016	505 LV ±4.4%	42%	32%	22%	4%
	Quinnipiac	3/23/2016	652 LV ±3.8%	43%	29%	16%	12%
	Monmouth University	3/23/2016	353 RV ±5.2%	41%	29%	18%	12%
	Bloomberg	3/23/2016	366 LV ±5.1%	40%	31%	25%	4%
	Fox News	3/23/2016	388 LV ±5%	41%	38%	17%	4%
	CNN \| ORC	3/21/2016	397 LV ±5%	47%	31%	17%	5%
	CBS News/NY Times	3/21/2016	362 LV	46%	26%	20%	8%
	Rasmussen	3/18/2016	719 LV ±4%	43%	28%	21%	8%
	Washington Post - ABC News	3/08/2016	340 RV ±5.5%	34%	25%	13%	28%
	NBC News / WSJ	3/08/2016	397 LV ±4.9%	30%	27%	22%	21%
	CNN \| ORC	2/29/2016	427 LV ±5%	49%	15%	6%	30%
	IBD/TIPP	2/25/2016	400 LV ±5%	31%	20%	7%	42%
	Rasmussen	2/23/2016	697 LV ±4%	36%	17%	12%	35%
	CBS News/NY Times	2/18/2016	581 LV ±5%	35%	18%	11%	36%
	Fox News	2/18/2016	404 RV ±4.5%	36%	19%	8%	37%
	Quinnipiac	2/17/2016	602 RV ±4%	39%	18%	6%	37%
	Suffolk University	2/17/2016	358 LV ±5.2%	35%	20%	7%	38%
	NBC News / WSJ	2/17/2016	400 LV ±4.9%	26%	28%	11%	35%
	Rasmussen	2/08/2016	725 LV	31%	20%	6%	43%
	Quinnipiac	2/05/2016	507 LV ±4.4%	31%	22%	3%	44%
	Public Policy	2/04/2016	531 LV ±4.3%	25%	21%	5%	49%
	IBD/TIPP	1/28/2016	395 RV ±5%	31%	21%	2%	46%
	Bloomberg	1/27/2016	1,020 LV ±3.1%	34%	12%	4%	50%
	Washington Post - ABC News	1/26/2016	356 RV ±5.5%	37%	21%	2%	40%
	CNN \| ORC	1/26/2016	405 RV ±5%	41%	19%	1%	39%
	Fox News	1/22/2016	405 LV ±4.5%	34%	20%	4%	42%
	Monmouth University	1/20/2016	385 RV ±5%	36%	17%	3%	44%
	NBC News / WSJ	1/14/2016	400 LV ±4.9%	33%	20%	3%	44%
	CBS News/NY Times	1/12/2016	442 LV	36%	19%	2%	43%
	IBD/TIPP	1/11/2016	414 RV ±4.9%	34%	18%	2%	46%
	Fox News	1/08/2016	423 RV ±5%	35%	20%	2%	43%
	CNN \| ORC	12/23/2015	438 RV ±4.5%	39%	18%	2%	41%
	Quinnipiac	12/22/2015	508 RV	28%	24%	1%	47%
	Emerson College	12/21/2015	415 LV ±4.8%	36%	21%	3%	40%
	Public Policy	12/18/2015	532 LV ±4.3%	34%	18%	2%	46%
	Fox News	12/18/2015	402 RV ±5%	39%	18%	2%	41%
	Rasmussen	12/18/2015	624 LV ±4%	29%	18%	-	53%
	Washington Post - ABC News	12/15/2015	362 RV ±6%	38%	15%	2%	45%
	Monmouth University	12/14/2015	385 RV ±5%	41%	14%	3%	42%
	NBC News / WSJ	12/13/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	27%	22%	2%	49%
	CBS News/NY Times	12/10/2015	431 LV	35%	16%	3%	46%
	Suffolk University	12/08/2015	357 LV ±5.2%	27%	17%	2%	54%
	IBD/TIPP	12/07/2015	394 LV ±5%	27%	13%	2%	58%
	CNN \| ORC	12/04/2015	445 RV ±4.5%	36%	16%	2%	46%
	Quinnipiac	12/02/2015	672 RV ±3.8%	27%	16%	2%	55%
	Washington Post - ABC News	11/22/2015	373 RV ±6%	32%	8%	3%	57%
	Fox News	11/22/2015	434 LV	28%	14%	2%	56%
	Bloomberg	11/19/2015	379 RV ±5%	24%	9%	3%	64%
	Public Policy	11/19/2015	607 RV ±4%	26%	14%	3%	57%
	YouGov	11/16/2015	318 LV ±6.4%	31%	13%	4%	52%
	Rasmussen	11/13/2015	672 LV ±4%	27%	13%	-	60%
	McClatchy - Marist	11/09/2015	431 LV ±4.7%	23%	8%	4%	65%
	Quinnipiac	11/04/2015	502 RV ±4.4%	24%	13%	3%	60%
	Fox News	11/04/2015	476 RV ±4.5%	26%	11%	4%	59%
	NBC News / WSJ	11/02/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	23%	10%	3%	64%
	IBD/TIPP	10/30/2015	402 RV ±5%	28%	6%	-	66%
	CBS News/NY Times	10/27/2015	575 RV ±6%	22%	4%	4%	70%
	Washington Post - ABC News	10/21/2015	364 RV ±6%	32%	6%	2%	60%
	CNN \| ORC	10/20/2015	465 RV ±4.5%	27%	4%	3%	66%
	Monmouth University	10/20/2015	348 RV ±5.3%	28%	10%	1%	61%
	NBC News / WSJ	10/19/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	25%	9%	3%	63%
	Fox News	10/13/2015	398 RV	24%	10%	1%	65%
	CBS News	10/11/2015	419 LV ±5%	27%	9%	2%	62%
	Public Policy	10/06/2015	627 LV ±3.9%	27%	7%	4%	62%
	Pew Research	10/02/2015	496 RV	25%	6%	1%	68%
	IBD/TIPP	10/02/2015	377 RV	17%	6%	4%	73%
	Suffolk University	9/30/2015	380 LV ±5%	23%	6%	2%	69%
	NBC News / WSJ	9/27/2015	230 LV ±6.5%	21%	5%	6%	68%
	Quinnipiac	9/24/2015	737 RV ±3.6%	25%	7%	2%	66%
	Bloomberg	9/24/2015	391 RV ±5%	21%	5%	4%	70%
	Fox News	9/23/2015	398 LV	26%	8%	4%	62%
	CNN \| ORC	9/20/2015	444 RV ±4.5%	24%	6%	2%	68%
	CBS News/NY Times	9/15/2015	376 RV ±6%	27%	5%	3%	65%
	Washington Post - ABC News	9/14/2015	342 RV ±6%	33%	7%	3%	57%
	CNN \| ORC	9/10/2015	474 RV ±4.5%	32%	7%	2%	59%
	Monmouth University	9/03/2015	366 RV ±5.1%	30%	8%	2%	60%
	Public Policy	9/01/2015	572 LV ±4.1%	29%	6%	6%	59%
	Quinnipiac	8/27/2015	666 RV ±3.8%	28%	7%	5%	60%
	Gravis Marketing	8/25/2015	3,567 RV ±2%	40%	7%	5%	48%
	CNN \| ORC	8/18/2015	466 RV ±4.5%	24%	5%	5%	66%
	Fox News	8/16/2015	381 LV	25%	10%	4%	61%
	Rasmussen	8/11/2015	651 LV ±4%	17%	7%	4%	72%
	Morning Consult	8/10/2015	746 RV ±3.6%	32%	4%	3%	61%
	Bloomberg	8/04/2015	500 RV ±4.4%	21%	4%	4%	71%
	CBS News	8/04/2015	364 LV	24%	6%	1%	69%
	Monmouth University	8/03/2015	423 RV ±4.8%	26%	6%	3%	65%
	Fox News	8/03/2015	475 LV	26%	6%	3%	65%
	NBC News / WSJ	8/02/2015	252 LV ±6.2%	19%	9%	3%	69%
	Quinnipiac	7/30/2015	710 RV ±3.7%	20%	5%	5%	70%
	Rasmussen	7/30/2015	471 LV ±5%	26%	7%	5%	62%
	CNN \| ORC	7/26/2015	419 RV ±5%	18%	7%	4%	71%
	Public Policy	7/22/2015	524 LV ±4.3%	19%	4%	3%	74%
	Washington Post - ABC News	7/20/2015	N/A	24%	4%	2%	70%
	Fox News	7/16/2015	389 LV	18%	4%	2%	76%
	Suffolk University	7/14/2015	349 LV ±5.3%	17%	6%	1%	76%
	Monmouth University	7/13/2015	336 RV ±5.4%	13%	9%	1%	77%
	Gravis Marketing	7/06/2015	473 RV ±4.5%	15%	5%	-	80%
	CNN \| ORC	7/01/2015	368 RV ±5%	12%	3%	3%	82%
	Fox News	6/24/2015	378 LV ±5%	11%	4%	2%	83%
	NBC News / WSJ	6/22/2015	236 LV ±6.4%	1%	4%	1%	94%
	Public Policy	6/16/2015	492 RV ±4.4%	-	8%	-	92%
	Monmouth University	6/15/2015	351 RV ±5.2%	2%	5%	1%	92%
	Fox News	6/03/2015	370 LV	4%	8%	2%	86%
	Washington Post - ABC News	6/02/2015	N/A	5%	7%	3%	85%
	CNN \| ORC	6/02/2015	483 A ±4.5%	3%	8%	1%	88%
	Quinnipiac	5/28/2015	679 RV ±3.8%	5%	6%	2%	87%
	Public Policy	5/13/2015	685 LV ±3.7%	-	10%	-	90%
	Fox News	5/13/2015	413 RV	4%	6%	2%	88%
	YouGov	5/07/2015	690 RV	-	5%	4%	91%
	NBC News / WSJ	5/04/2015	251 RV ±6.2%	-	11%	-	89%
	Fox News	4/24/2015	383 RV	5%	8%	2%	85%
	Quinnipiac	4/23/2015	567 RV ±4.1%	-	9%	2%	89%
	CNN \| ORC	4/20/2015	435 A ±4.5%	-	7%	2%	91%
	Suffolk University	4/14/2015	369 A	1%	7%	1%	91%
	ABC News	4/02/2015	N/A	-	12%	1%	87%
	Fox News	4/02/2015	379 LV	3%	10%	1%	86%
	Public Policy	4/01/2015	443 RV ±4.7%	-	16%	-	84%
	Boston Herald	3/30/2015	429 LV ±4.7%	-	9%	1%	90%
	CNN \| ORC	3/18/2015	450 A ±4.5%	-	4%	2%	94%
	McClatchy - Marist	3/06/2015	426 RV ±4.7%	-	4%	-	96%
	Quinnipiac	3/05/2015	554 RV ±4.2%	-	6%	1%	93%
	Public Policy	2/24/2015	316 LV ±5.5%	-	5%	-	95%
	CNN \| ORC	2/18/2015	436 A ±4.5%	-	3%	2%	95%
	Public Policy	1/30/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	-	9%	-	91%
	Fox News	1/29/2015	394 RV ±4.5%	-	4%	1%	95%
	CNN \| ORC	12/28/2014	453 A ±4.5%	-	4%	3%	93%
	Fox News	12/16/2014	392 RV	-	5%	2%	93%
	ABC News	12/16/2014	410 RV ±5.5%	-	8%	2%	90%

Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

2016 Republican Presidential Nomination

1,237 Delegates Needed to Win

Estimated Delegates Earned

National Polls

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