2000 Election with Projected 2024 Electoral Votes
Estimate as of December, 2018
2024 will mark the 3rd reapportionment of the electoral map since the controversial 2000 election, won by George Bush with 271 electoral votes. Since then, the country's population has continued to shift south and west, toward states that have generally voted Republican in recent decades.
As a result, if the projected 2024 electoral map had been in place in 2000, Bush would have won an additional 20 electoral votes, for a 291-247 win over Al Gore (excluding a faithless Washington DC elector). While that spread seems more comfortable, Florida would still have made the difference. The Sunshine State is expected to have 31 electoral votes in 2024 (vs. 25 in 2000).