This page is associated with the 2016 election. Go here for the 2020 page.
Electoral Maps from Princeton Election Consortium
These maps are derived from the current* Princeton Election Consortium model output. The model is primarily driven by state-level polling, factoring in both the spread between Clinton & Trump, as well as consistency across polls.
The first map is the current projection, while the other two maps take a look at the map if either Clinton or Trump were to outperform in the polls by 2%.
Click or tap any of the maps for an interactive version.
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Baseline: Likelihood for Clinton or Trump victory based on current polling
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Clinton Outperforms: How the map shifts if Clinton outperforms polling by 2%
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Trump Outperforms: How the map shifts if Trump outperforms polling by 2%
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* Updated 3x daily, these maps will slightly lag any updates to the Princeton Election Consortium forecasts.
