2024 Texas Republican Primary

Date: March 5, 2024
Delegates: 161
Allocation:
  • There are 47 statewide delegates and 114 congressional district delegates (3 per district).
  • In each case, winner take all where a candidate exceeds 50% of the vote.
  • Otherwise, allocation in each location depends on the number of candidates receiving 20% of the vote.
Notes:
  • The state primary for offices other than president is also March 5.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
161


Haley
0

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Haley DeSantis Ramaswamy Other
Poll Averages† 79.8% 15.0% 8.0% - -
Univ. of Texas at Tyler 2/29/2024 522 LV ±4.8% 75% 17% - - 8%
University of Texas 2/19/2024 486 RV ±4.5% 80% 9% 8% - 3%
Morning Consult 2/07/2024 1,339 LV ±3% 84% 15% - - 1%
University of Houston 1/30/2024 508 LV ±4.4% 80% 19% - - 1%
Emerson College 1/18/2024 630 RV 69% 11% 7% 4% 9%
University of Texas 12/19/2023 552 RV ±3.1% 65% 9% 12% 4% 10%
University of Houston 11/01/2023 524 LV ±4.3% 58% 6% 14% 3% 19%
University of Texas 10/25/2023 568 RV ±4.1% 62% 7% 13% 3% 15%
CWS Research 5/04/2023 699 LV ±3.7% 54% 5% 16% 3% 22%
CWS Research 4/04/2023 1,067 LV ±3% 52% 4% 20% 2% 22%
Show:

†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.