2024 North Carolina Republican Primary

Date: March 5, 2024
Delegates: 74
Allocation:
  • There are 32 statewide delegates and 42 congressional district delegates (3 per district).
  • Statewide delegates are proportionately allocated to candidates receiving 20% or more of the vote.
  • In each district, winner take all where a candidate receives 67% of the vote or only one candidate receives 20%. Otherwise, delegates are split 2, 1 to the top two finishers.
Notes:
  • The state primary for offices other than president is also March 5.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Haley Binkley DeSantis Ramaswamy Other
Poll Averages† 75.0% 20.7% - - - -
East Carolina Univ. 2/16/2024 492 RV 76% 19% - - - 5%
Morning Consult 2/07/2024 654 LV ±4% 77% 23% - - - 0%
Meredith College 2/05/2024 375 RV 72% 20% - - - 8%
Public Policy 1/08/2024 619 LV ±3.9% 66% 12% 0% 9% 4% 9%
East Carolina Univ. 12/06/2023 445 RV ±5.4% 63% 13% - 10% 3% 11%
Meredith College 11/13/2023 335 RV 51% 9% 0% 14% 8% 18%
Cygnal 10/12/2023 600 LV ±3.9% 52% 10% - 12% 5% 21%
Meredith College 9/26/2023 350 RV 51% 6% 1% 13% 8% 21%
Opinion Diagnostics 6/08/2023 408 LV ±4.8% 44% 7% - 22% 1% 26%
SurveyUSA 5/01/2023 707 LV ±4.4% 55% 5% - 22% 2% 16%

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.