2024 New Hampshire Republican Primary

Date: To be Announced (Best Guess: January)
Delegates: 22
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 10% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Scheduling unclear. State law requires both parties to hold primaries on same day. Democratic schedule is in conflict with state's traditional 'first in the nation' status. Allocation is proportional to candidates receiving 10% or more of the vote. The state primary for offices other than president is September 10.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Haley DeSantis Christie Ramaswamy Scott Burgum Pence Hutchinson Hurd Elder Other
Poll Averages† 44.0% 13.0% 10.5% 9.8% 8.0% 4.8% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% -
CBS / YouGov 9/26/2023 502 LV ±5.4% 50% 11% 13% 8% 8% 5% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Anselm College 9/26/2023 931 LV ±3.2% 45% 15% 11% 10% 6% 3% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 7%
InsiderAdvantage 9/21/2023 850 LV ±3.4% 42% 14% 8% 10% 5% 5% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0% 10%
CNN / Univ. of New Hampshire 9/20/2023 1,006 LV ±3.4% 39% 12% 10% 11% 13% 6% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 5%
Echelon Insights 8/21/2023 800 LV ±4% 34% 3% 9% 14% 11% 7% 2% 3% 1% 3% 0% 13%
Trafalgar Group 8/18/2023 1,036 LV ±2.9% 50% 3% 11% 9% 10% 8% 3% 3% 1% 1% 0% 1%
Emerson College 8/15/2023 498 RV ±4.9% 49% 4% 8% 9% 3% 6% 4% 1% - 1% - 15%
co/efficient 8/07/2023 862 LV ±3.3% 43% 7% 9% 9% 5% 5% 4% 3% - - - 15%
Manhattan Institute 8/03/2023 704 LV ±4% 34% 7% 13% 11% 8% 7% 3% 4% 1% - 0% 12%
National Research 7/27/2023 500 LV ±4.4% 41% 3% 11% 8% 6% 8% 5% 2% 1% - - 15%
Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.