2024 Michigan Republican Primary

Date: February 27, 2024
Delegates: 55
Allocation:
  • There are 16 statewide delegates and 39 congressional district delegates (3 per district).
  • Candidates receiving 12.5% of the statewide vote earn two delegates, with one delegate for each additional 6.25%. Any remaining delegates go to the statewide popular vote winner.
  • In each district, winner take all where a candidate exceeds 50%. Otherwise, delegates are split 2, 1 to the top two finishers.
Notes:
  • Split nominating contest, with a statewide primary on February 27 followed by congressional district caucuses on March 2.
  • The state primary for offices other than president is August 6.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Haley DeSantis Ramaswamy Other
Morning Consult 2/07/2024 666 LV ±4% 79% 19% - - 2%
MIRS/Target Insyght 1/12/2024 600 LV ±4% 53% 19% 9% 2% 17%
Monmouth / Wash. Post 12/14/2023 606 RV ±4.4% 63% 13% 13% 3% 8%
CNN 12/11/2023 618 LV ±4.9% 58% 13% 15% 4% 10%
Public Policy 10/11/2023 430 LV ±4.7% 63% 6% 13% 3% 15%
Emerson College 8/04/2023 498 RV ±4.3% 61% 3% 13% 4% 19%
Mitchell Research 7/21/2023 300 LV ±5.8% 69% 1% 13% - 17%