2024 Michigan Republican Primary

Show Results
Date: February 27, 2024
Delegates: 55
Allocation:
  • There are 16 statewide delegates and 39 congressional district delegates (3 per district).
  • Candidates receiving 12.5% of the statewide vote earn two delegates, with one delegate for each additional 6.25%. Any remaining delegates go to the statewide popular vote winner.
  • In each district, winner take all where a candidate exceeds 50%. Otherwise, delegates are split 2, 1 to the top two finishers.
Notes:
  • Split nominating contest, with a statewide primary on February 27 followed by congressional district caucuses on March 2.
  • The state primary for offices other than president is August 6.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
51


Haley
4

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Haley DeSantis Ramaswamy Other
Poll Averages† 74.0% 19.5% - - -
Emerson College 2/26/2024 486 RV 69% 20% - - 11%
Morning Consult 2/07/2024 666 LV ±4% 79% 19% - - 2%
MIRS/Target Insyght 1/12/2024 600 LV ±4% 53% 19% 9% 2% 17%
Monmouth / Wash. Post 12/14/2023 606 RV ±4.4% 63% 13% 13% 3% 8%
CNN 12/11/2023 618 LV ±4.9% 58% 13% 15% 4% 10%
Public Policy 10/11/2023 430 LV ±4.7% 63% 6% 13% 3% 15%
Emerson College 8/04/2023 498 RV ±4.3% 61% 3% 13% 4% 19%
Mitchell Research 7/21/2023 300 LV ±5.8% 69% 1% 13% - 17%

† The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.