2024 Michigan Republican Primary

Date: February 27, 2024
Delegates: 55
Allocation: Threshold
Threshold: 20% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Scheduled primary date is non-compliant with party rules; could result in a loss of delegates. Winner take all where a candidate exceeds 50% statewide. Otherwise, proportional to candidates receiving 20% or more. The state primary for offices other than president is August 6.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Polls

Source Date Sample Burgum Christie DeSantis Haley Hurd Hutchinson Pence Ramaswamy Scott Trump Other
Emerson College 8/04/2023 498 RV ±4.3% 0% 2% 13% 3% 0% 1% 7% 4% 2% 61% 7%
Mitchell Research 7/21/2023 300 LV ±5.8% - - 13% 1% - - 3% - 2% 69% 12%