2024 California Republican Primary

Date: March 5, 2024
Delegates: 169
Allocation:
  • Winner take all where a candidate exceeds 50% of the statewide vote.
  • Otherwise, proportional to the statewide vote.
Notes:
  • The threshold to receive any delegates in 2020 was 20%; that has been removed for 2024.
  • The state's top-two primary for offices other than president is also March 5.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
0


Haley
0

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Haley DeSantis Ramaswamy Other
Poll Averages† 74.0% 16.7% 3.0% 3.0% -
Emerson College 2/29/2024 342 LV 75% 17% - - 8%
PPIC 2/23/2024 275 LV ±8.3% 64% 17% 3% 3% 13%
Emerson College 2/20/2024 315 RV 72% 20% - - 8%
Morning Consult 2/07/2024 1,095 LV ±3% 83% 16% - - 1%
USC Dornsife 2/01/2024 407 LV ±4.9% 66% 28% - - 6%
Emerson College 1/18/2024 377 RV 62% 10% 6% - 22%
Berkeley IGS 1/15/2024 1,351 LV ±3.5% 66% 11% 8% 3% 12%
PPIC 12/07/2023 276 LV ±7.5% 56% 13% 12% 2% 17%
Emerson College 11/17/2023 331 RV 63% 5% 11% 3% 18%
PPIC 11/09/2023 316 LV 53% 9% 12% 5% 21%
Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.