2024 California Republican Primary

Date: March 5, 2024
Delegates: 169
Allocation: Proportional
Notes: Winner take all where a candidate exceeds 50% statewide. Otherwise, proportional based on the statewide vote. The threshold to receive any delegates in 2020 was 20%; that has been removed for 2024.The state's top-two primary for offices other than president is also March 5.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump DeSantis Haley Pence Ramaswamy Christie Elder Scott Burgum Hurd Hutchinson Other
Poll Averages† 51.5% 15.0% 7.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.5% 2.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -
PPIC 9/27/2023 294 LV ±7.2% 48% 14% 7% 7% 4% 4% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 12%
Berkeley IGS 9/06/2023 1,175 LV ±4% 55% 16% 7% 3% 4% 3% 1% 2% - - - 9%
PPIC 7/13/2023 343 LV ±6.5% 50% 24% 3% 6% 1% 3% - 5% - - 0% 8%
Emerson College 6/12/2023 329 LV 53% 19% 6% 10% 2% 2% - 4% 1% - - 3%
PPIC 6/06/2023 235 LV ±7.5% 50% 21% 3% 10% 1% 1% - 2% - - - 12%
Berkeley IGS 5/28/2023 1,472 LV ±3.5% 44% 26% 3% 4% 2% 1% 0% 1% - - 0% 19%
Berkeley IGS 2/24/2023 1,744 RV ±3.5% 29% 37% 7% 3% - - - 1% - - - 23%

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.