2024 Arizona Republican Primary

Date: March 19, 2024
Delegates: 43
Allocation:
  • Statewide popular vote winner earns all 43 delegates.
Notes:
  • The state primary for offices other than president is August 6.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Haley Binkley DeSantis Ramaswamy Other
Morning Consult 2/07/2024 420 LV ±5% 75% 23% - - - 2%
Noble Predictive Insights 11/14/2023 348 RV ±5.3% 53% 8% 0% 16% 9% 14%
Noble Predictive Insights 8/08/2023 346 RV ±5.3% 50% 4% - 19% 9% 18%
Emerson College 8/08/2023 663 RV ±3.7% 58% 3% - 11% 4% 24%
Noble Predictive Insights 5/04/2023 371 RV ±5.1% 49% 4% - 21% - 26%
J.L. Partners 4/17/2023 550 RV ±4.2% 47% 3% - 24% 2% 24%
OH Predictive Insights 2/28/2023 350 RV ±5.2% 42% 5% - 26% - 27%