Michigan 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source		Date	Sample	Harris	Trump	Other
Average of 5 Polls†				44.6%	45.6%	-
	Fox News	7/26/2024	1,012 RV ±3%	49%	49%	2%
	Redfield & Wilton	7/26/2024	512 LV ±3.9%	41%	44%	15%
	Glengariff Group	7/25/2024	600 LV ±4%	42%	41%	17%
	Emerson College	7/25/2024	800 RV ±3.4%	45%	46%	9%
	Public Policy	7/22/2024	568 RV	46%	48%	6%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	5/22/2024	704 RV ±4%	44%	47%	9%
	NY Times / Siena College	11/05/2023	616 RV ±4.4%	45%	47%	8%

Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source		Date	Sample	Harris	Stein	Kennedy	West	Oliver	Trump	Other
Average of 3 Polls†				42.3%	0.7%	7.3%	1.0%	0.3%	43.0%	-
	Redfield & Wilton	7/26/2024	512 LV ±3.9%	41%	0%	7%	-	0%	44%	8%
	Glengariff Group	7/25/2024	600 LV ±4%	42%	1%	10%	-	1%	41%	5%
	Emerson College	7/25/2024	800 RV ±3.4%	44%	1%	5%	1%	0%	44%	5%

Biden vs. Trump

Source		Date	Sample	Biden	Trump	Other
Average of 6 Polls†				40.7%	43.7%	-
	Redfield & Wilton	7/21/2024	437 LV ±4.2%	41%	42%	17%
	EPIC-MRA	7/21/2024	600 LV ±4%	42%	49%	9%
	Trafalgar Group	7/18/2024	1,091 LV ±2.9%	43%	45%	12%
	Emerson College	7/18/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	42%	45%	13%
	Redfield & Wilton	7/15/2024	465 LV	43%	42%	15%
	The Times (UK) / YouGov	7/15/2024	1,000 RV ±3.6%	40%	42%	18%
	MRG	7/14/2024	600 RV ±4%	36%	39%	25%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	7/06/2024	694 RV ±4%	48%	43%	9%
	Emerson College	7/02/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	44%	45%	11%
	EPIC-MRA	6/29/2024	600 LV ±4%	45%	49%	6%
	Emerson College	6/20/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	45%	46%	9%
	Redfield & Wilton	6/17/2024	594 LV	36%	37%	27%
	Mitchell Research	6/04/2024	697 LV ±6.9%	48%	48%	4%
	Florida Atlantic U.	6/04/2024	636 LV	47%	46%	7%
	Mitchell Research	5/27/2024	697 LV ±3.7%	47%	49%	4%
	Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy	5/23/2024	606 LV ±4%	45%	47%	8%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	5/22/2024	704 RV ±4%	46%	45%	9%
	Redfield & Wilton	5/13/2024	522 LV	37%	43%	20%
	NY Times / Siena College	5/13/2024	616 RV ±4%	42%	49%	9%
	Emerson College	4/30/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	44%	45%	11%
	CBS / YouGov	4/28/2024	1,287 LV ±3.1%	51%	49%	0%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	4/24/2024	708 RV ±4%	47%	45%	8%
	Fox News	4/18/2024	1,126 RV ±3%	46%	49%	5%
	Marketing Resource Group	4/17/2024	600 LV ±4%	36%	42%	22%
	Bullfinch Group	4/06/2024	600 RV ±4%	42%	39%	19%
	Spry Strategies	4/04/2024	709 LV ±3.7%	44%	48%	8%
	Wall Street Journal	4/02/2024	600 RV ±4%	45%	48%	7%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	3/26/2024	698 RV ±4%	45%	45%	10%
	Redfield & Wilton	3/25/2024	616 LV ±3.6%	39%	41%	20%
	Mitchell Research	3/22/2024	626 RV ±3.9%	44%	47%	9%
	CNN	3/22/2024	1,097 RV ±3.6%	42%	50%	8%
	Emerson College	3/21/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	44%	45%	11%
	Quinnipiac	3/14/2024	1,487 RV ±2.5%	45%	48%	7%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	2/29/2024	702 RV ±4%	44%	46%	10%
	Emerson College	2/26/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	44%	46%	10%
	EPIC-MRA	2/21/2024	600 LV ±4%	41%	45%	14%
	Fox News	2/14/2024	1,106 RV ±3%	45%	47%	8%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	1/31/2024	703 RV ±4%	42%	47%	11%
	MIRS/Target Insyght	1/12/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	45%	41%	14%
	Glengariff Group	1/09/2024	500 LV ±4%	39%	47%	14%
	Redfield & Wilton	1/08/2024	675 LV	37%	39%	24%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	12/14/2023	703 RV ±4%	42%	46%	12%
	CNN	12/11/2023	1,197 RV ±3.4%	40%	50%	10%
	Redfield & Wilton	12/05/2023	874 LV ±3%	38%	39%	23%
	EPIC-MRA	11/18/2023	600 LV ±4%	41%	46%	13%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	11/09/2023	700 RV ±4%	43%	43%	14%
	Emerson College	11/09/2023	788 LV ±3%	45%	43%	12%
	NY Times / Siena College	11/05/2023	616 RV ±4.4%	43%	48%	9%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	10/19/2023	706 RV ±4%	44%	44%	12%
	Emerson College	10/16/2023	468 RV ±4.5%	44%	43%	13%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/15/2023	970 RV ±3.2%	41%	41%	18%
	MRG	10/11/2023	600 LV	35%	42%	23%
	Susquehanna Polling	9/15/2023	700 RV ±3.7%	46%	43%	11%
	EPIC-MRA	8/17/2023	600 LV ±4%	46%	45%	9%
	Emerson College	8/04/2023	1,121 RV ±2.9%	44%	44%	12%
	Mitchell Research	7/22/2023	639 LV ±4%	45%	43%	12%
	Public Opinion Strategies	7/11/2023	500 RV ±4.4%	45%	44%	11%
	EPIC-MRA	6/16/2023	600 LV ±4%	44%	44%	12%
	Public Opinion Strategies	4/20/2023	500 RV ±4.4%	45%	42%	13%

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Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source		Date	Sample	Biden	Stein	Kennedy	West	Oliver	Trump	Other
Average of 5 Polls†				40.0%	1.2%	5.8%	1.3%	0.5%	43.0%	-
	Redfield & Wilton	7/21/2024	437 LV ±4.2%	41%	1%	6%	-	1%	42%	9%
	EPIC-MRA	7/21/2024	600 LV ±4%	36%	2%	8%	2%	-	43%	9%
	Trafalgar Group	7/18/2024	1,091 LV ±2.9%	43%	1%	4%	1%	-	45%	6%
	Emerson College	7/18/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	40%	1%	7%	1%	0%	43%	8%
	Redfield & Wilton	7/15/2024	465 LV	43%	0%	6%	-	1%	42%	8%
	The Times (UK) / YouGov	7/15/2024	1,000 RV ±3.6%	40%	1%	4%	1%	-	42%	12%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	7/06/2024	694 RV ±4%	45%	1%	6%	2%	1%	39%	6%
	Emerson College	7/02/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	41%	1%	6%	1%	1%	43%	7%
	EPIC-MRA	6/29/2024	600 LV ±4%	38%	2%	10%	2%	-	41%	7%
	Emerson College	6/20/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	42%	1%	5%	1%	-	44%	7%
	Redfield & Wilton	6/17/2024	594 LV	36%	1%	8%	-	1%	37%	17%
	Mitchell Research	6/04/2024	697 LV ±6.9%	45%	1%	3%	1%	-	46%	4%
	Florida Atlantic U.	6/04/2024	636 LV	44%	-	8%	-	-	43%	5%
	Mitchell Research	5/27/2024	697 LV ±3.7%	45%	1%	5%	1%	-	46%	2%
	Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy	5/23/2024	606 LV ±4%	40%	2%	7%	2%	-	43%	6%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	5/22/2024	704 RV ±4%	42%	2%	7%	1%	-	40%	8%
	Redfield & Wilton	5/13/2024	522 LV	37%	1%	7%	-	-	43%	12%
	NY Times / Siena College	5/13/2024	616 RV ±4%	36%	1%	9%	0%	-	38%	16%
	Emerson College	4/30/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	42%	1%	5%	1%	-	43%	8%
	CBS / YouGov	4/28/2024	1,287 LV ±3.1%	45%	3%	9%	-	-	43%	0%
	Fox News	4/18/2024	1,126 RV ±3%	40%	2%	9%	2%	-	42%	5%
	Marketing Resource Group	4/17/2024	600 LV ±4%	34%	2%	13%	1%	-	37%	13%
	Spry Strategies	4/04/2024	709 LV ±3.7%	40%	-	9%	-	-	43%	8%
	Wall Street Journal	4/02/2024	600 RV ±4%	37%	2%	12%	2%	-	39%	8%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	3/26/2024	698 RV ±4%	40%	2%	9%	3%	-	40%	6%
	Redfield & Wilton	3/25/2024	616 LV ±3.6%	39%	0%	6%	-	-	41%	14%
	Mitchell Research	3/22/2024	626 RV ±3.9%	42%	1%	6%	1%	-	44%	6%
	Emerson College	3/21/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	41%	1%	5%	1%	-	43%	9%
	Quinnipiac	3/14/2024	1,487 RV ±2.5%	36%	4%	10%	3%	-	41%	6%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	2/29/2024	702 RV ±4%	40%	1%	9%	1%	-	41%	8%
	Emerson College	2/26/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	39%	1%	6%	1%	-	42%	11%
	Fox News	2/14/2024	1,106 RV ±3%	37%	3%	11%	2%	-	42%	5%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	1/31/2024	703 RV ±4%	37%	1%	8%	1%	-	43%	10%
	Redfield & Wilton	1/08/2024	675 LV	37%	-	9%	-	-	39%	15%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	12/14/2023	703 RV ±4%	35%	1%	10%	2%	-	39%	13%
	CNN	12/11/2023	1,197 RV ±3.4%	31%	-	20%	6%	-	39%	4%
	Redfield & Wilton	12/05/2023	874 LV ±3%	38%	-	9%	-	-	39%	14%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	11/09/2023	700 RV ±4%	38%	-	10%	2%	-	37%	13%
	NY Times / Siena College	11/05/2023	616 RV ±4.4%	31%	-	26%	-	-	34%	9%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/15/2023	970 RV ±3.2%	40%	-	7%	-	-	38%	15%

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†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.

Michigan Winner

Biden

Trump

Kerry

Ford

Election Winner

Biden

Trump

Bush

Carter

2020

2016

2004

1976

Michigan 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

Biden vs. Trump

Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

When did it last happen?

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