Michigan 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Biden vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 4 Polls† 43.5% 46.0% -
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 2/29/2024 702 RV ±4% 44% 46% 10%
Emerson College 2/26/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 44% 46% 10%
EPIC-MRA 2/21/2024 600 LV ±4% 41% 45% 14%
Fox News 2/14/2024 1,106 RV ±3% 45% 47% 8%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 1/31/2024 703 RV ±4% 42% 47% 11%
MIRS/Target Insyght 1/12/2024 800 LV ±3.5% 45% 41% 14%
Glengariff Group 1/09/2024 500 LV ±4% 39% 47% 14%
Redfield & Wilton 1/08/2024 675 LV 37% 39% 24%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 12/14/2023 703 RV ±4% 42% 46% 12%
CNN 12/11/2023 1,197 RV ±3.4% 40% 50% 10%
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Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Trump Other
Average of 3 Polls† 38.7% 1.7% 8.7% 1.3% 41.7% -
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 2/29/2024 702 RV ±4% 40% 1% 9% 1% 41% 8%
Emerson College 2/26/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 39% 1% 6% 1% 42% 11%
Fox News 2/14/2024 1,106 RV ±3% 37% 3% 11% 2% 42% 5%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 1/31/2024 703 RV ±4% 37% 1% 8% 1% 43% 10%
Redfield & Wilton 1/08/2024 675 LV 37% - 9% - 39% 15%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 12/14/2023 703 RV ±4% 35% 1% 10% 2% 39% 13%
CNN 12/11/2023 1,197 RV ±3.4% 31% - 20% 6% 39% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 12/05/2023 874 LV ±3% 38% - 9% - 39% 14%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 11/09/2023 700 RV ±4% 38% - 10% 2% 37% 13%
NY Times / Siena College 11/05/2023 616 RV ±4.4% 31% - 26% - 34% 9%
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Biden vs. Haley

Source Date Sample Biden Haley Other
Fox News 2/14/2024 1,106 RV ±3% 42% 43% 15%
Glengariff Group 1/09/2024 500 LV ±4% 34% 44% 22%
CNN 12/11/2023 1,197 RV ±3.4% 38% 50% 12%
EPIC-MRA 11/18/2023 600 LV ±4% 36% 47% 17%
NY Times / Siena College 11/05/2023 616 RV ±4.4% 35% 45% 20%

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Michigan Winner
Biden
Trump
Kerry
Ford
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Bush
Carter
2020
2016
2004
1976