2024 California Democratic Primary

Date: March 5, 2024
Delegates: 494 (424 pledged, 70 automatic)
Allocation:
  • Pledged delegates are earned on the statewide vote as well as the vote in individual congressional districts.
  • In each case, allocation is proportional to candidates receiving 15% or more support.
  • Automatic delegates are unpledged.
Notes:
  • The state's top-two primary for offices other than president is also March 5.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
424

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Phillips Williamson Other
Poll Averages† 79.0% 6.0% 6.0% -
Emerson College 2/29/2024 570 LV 80% 6% - 14%
Emerson College 2/20/2024 562 RV 75% 9% - 16%
USC Dornsife 2/01/2024 792 LV ±3.5% 78% 6% 6% 10%
Emerson College 1/18/2024 578 RV 72% 3% 5% 20%
Emerson College 11/17/2023 523 RV 62% 4% 8% 26%
Berkeley IGS 9/06/2023 2,833 LV ±3% 66% - 3% 31%
Emerson College 6/12/2023 585 LV 72% - 7% 21%

†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.