2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination

1,885 Pledged Delegates Needed to Win on 1st Ballot

Date and delegate information on this page is preliminary and subject to change. The Democratic Party will nominate a 2020 presidential candidate at its convention in Milwaukee the week of July 13, 2020. Primary and caucus events will go through mid June.

Estimated Delegates Earned
Delegate counts will be available beginning with the Iowa Caucus on February 3, 2020. A majority of the estimated 3,768 pledged delegates (1,885+) are needed to win the Democratic nomination on the first ballot. An estimated 764 additional automatic delegates (superdelegates) will not participate on the first ballot (unless the nomination is uncontested). This is a significant change from 2016.

The map below shows the number of delegates each state will send to the Democratic convention. You can view pledged or total delegates. Click a state to see available polling.

National Polls | 2020 Election Calendar | Who's Ahead in Each State
Pledged: 1st Ballot
1,885 Needed
Total: 2nd+ Ballots
2,267 Needed
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
6 6 6
AS GU MP
51 6
PR VI
February Super Tues March 4-31 April May June TBA
Contests 4 14 12 8 6 6 7
Delegates 155 1,328 1,003 432 250 234 366
% Delegates 4.1% 35.2% 26.6% 11.5% 6.6% 6.2% 9.7%
Cumulative % 4.1% 39.4% 66.0% 77.4% 84.1% 90.3% 100%

Locations in gray have not yet set a date. Later in 2019, the Party will award bonus delegates to locations meeting certain criteria. This will increase the number of delegates needed to win the nomination. Calendar table includes delegates (13 pledged, 17 total) allocated to Democrats Abroad primary on March 3 (Super Tuesday). Democratic contests allocate delegates in some manner proportional to popular vote, subject to a 15% minimum to receive any delegates. Information is estimated and subject to change. Some states have an extended process for choosing delegates; the time used on the map is generally the start of the process. Select a state on the map for more detail. Special thanks to Greenpapers and FHQ for making it a lot easier to aggregate the data. Visit those sites for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.


The results of national polling for a preferred Democratic nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.
National Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Warren Harris Buttigieg O'Rourke Booker Klobuchar Castro Yang Gillibrand Inslee Gabbard Bennet Gravel Ryan Williamson Hickenlooper Delaney Moulton Swalwell de Blasio Bullock Messam Other
Poll Averages* 36.0% 16.8% 9.0% 7.2% 6.8% 4.8% 2.2% 1.5% 1.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5/16/2019 1008 RV ±3% 35% 17% 9% 5% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% - 0% 0% 11%
 
5/15/2019 964 RV 32% 14% 7% 7% 4% 6% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% - 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% - 0% 0% 20%
5/13/2019 15342 RV ±1% 39% 19% 8% 8% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% - 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% - 2%
5/13/2019 429 LV ±4.7% 33% 25% 10% 10% 8% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% - - 0% 0%
 
5/07/2019 15770 RV ±1% 40% 19% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% 0% - - 1% - 2%
4/30/2019 411 RV ±5.9% 39% 15% 8% 5% 7% 6% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% - 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 8%
4/30/2019 419 LV ±5.6% 38% 11% 12% 8% 10% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% - - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% - - 0% 10%
 
4/29/2019 15475 RV ±1% 36% 22% 9% 7% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% 0% - - 1% - -2%
 
4/28/2019 427 AV ±5.5% 17% 11% 4% 4% 5% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% - - 0% - - - 0% - - - - 0% - 53%
 
4/23/2019 14335 RV ±1% 30% 24% 7% 8% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% 0% - - - 0% - 2%
4/23/2019 330 RV ±5.4% 27% 20% 6% 8% 8% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% - 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 21%
 
4/18/2019 2518 LV 21% 20% 8% 7% 17% 9% 4% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 0% - 1% 0% 1% 0% - 1% - - - 3%
 
4/15/2019 356 RV ±5.2% 24% 29% 7% 8% 9% 8% 2% 1% 3% 3% 0% 0% 1% - - 1% 0% 0% 1% - 1% - - - 2%
 
4/15/2019 12550 RV ±1% 31% 23% 7% 9% 7% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - 1% - 0%
 
4/15/2019 2196 RV ±2% 27% 16% 4% 7% 2% 7% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - 0% 2% 0% - - - - - 27%
 
4/09/2019 13644 RV ±1% 32% 23% 7% 9% 5% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - 1% - 0%
 
4/02/2019 12940 RV ±1% 33% 25% 7% 8% 3% 8% 4% 2% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - - - - 1% 1% - - - 1% - 3%
 
3/28/2019 559 LV ±5.1% 29% 19% 4% 8% 4% 12% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% - - - 0% 1% 0% - - - - - 18%
 
3/26/2019 13725 RV ±1% 35% 25% 7% 8% 2% 8% 4% 2% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - - - - 1% 1% - - - 1% - 2%
 
3/24/2019 403 RV ±5% 31% 23% 4% 8% 1% 8% 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% - - - 0% 1% - 0% 1% 0% - 13%
 
3/19/2019 456 AV ±5.7% 28% 20% 6% 12% 1% 11% 3% 3% 1% - 1% 1% 0% - - - - 1% 0% - - - 0% - 12%
 
3/19/2019 487 LV ±4.4% 26% 26% 8% 12% 3% 11% 3% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% - - - - 1% - - - - - - 5%
 
3/19/2019 13551 RV ±1% 35% 27% 7% 8% 1% 8% 4% 2% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - - - - 1% 1% - - - 0% - 2%
 
3/12/2019 15226 RV ±1% 31% 27% 7% 10% 1% 7% 4% 3% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - - - - 1% 1% - - - 1% - 3%
 
3/11/2019 310 RV ±5.6% 28% 25% 8% 10% 0% 6% 5% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% - - 0% 1% 0% - - 1% 0% - 11%
 
3/05/2019 12560 RV ±1% 31% 27% 7% 11% 1% 6% 4% 3% 1% - 1% 0% 1% - - - - 1% 0% - - - 1% - 5%
 
2/26/2019 15642 RV ±1% 29% 27% 7% 10% 1% 7% 4% 3% 1% - 1% 0% 1% - - - - 1% 1% - - - 1% - 6%
 
2/19/2019 15383 RV ±1% 30% 21% 8% 11% 0% 7% 5% 4% 2% - 1% 0% 1% - - - - 1% 0% - - - 1% - 8%
 
2/16/2019 431 RV ±4.7% 27% 17% 9% 15% 0% 4% 9% 5% 1% - 1% - 2% - - - - - 0% - - - - - 10%
 
2/12/2019 11627 RV ±1% 29% 22% 8% 13% 0% 7% 5% 3% 1% - 1% 0% 1% - - - - 1% 0% - - - 1% - 8%
 
2/04/2019 313 RV ±5.5% 29% 16% 8% 11% 0% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% - - - - 1% 0% - - - - - 18%
 
1/22/2019 355 RV ±5.2% 45% 5% 3% 3% - 3% 8% 1% 8% - 1% - 2% - - - - - 2% - - - - - 19%
Show: 10 20 All

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five.


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