The Crosstab Midterms Forecast

Last Updated: June 22, 2018

This is a House forecast map derived from G. Elliott Morris's district level probabilities published on his blog, The Crosstab.

The toss-up tan color is used when neither party has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher Democratic and Republican probabilities, deepening as the chance of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2018 House forecast.

Current House
115th Congress
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Contested 2018 
2019 House
116th Congress
Democrats
Republicans
Map Updated: Jun. 22, 2018 1:20 PM (ET)
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House Elections 2018
All 435 Voting Seats. 218 Needed for Control.
Current (a)
Pro
Mine

Competitive 2018 House Races

District Incumbent Party Since Term Predictions
ProMine
2016 Margins
House(a)President(b)

(a)Source: Ballotpedia (for margins). The margin is the percentage difference between the top two vote-getters in 2016.
More recent results (i.e., special elections held in 2017-18 for vacancies) are not displayed.
* Race was uncontested | ^Top two vote-getters were from the same party

(b)Source: Daily Kos. The margin is the percentage difference between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.

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