LIVE ELECTION RESULTS Senate House Governor By State

The Crosstab Midterms Forecast

Final Ratings: November 6, 2018

This is a House forecast map derived from G. Elliott Morris's district level probabilities published on his blog, The Crosstab.

The toss-up tan color is used when neither party has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Color gradients are used to show higher Democratic and Republican probabilities, deepening as the chance of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2018 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.

Map Color Palette

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Safe Likely Leans

Overview: New Color Features >>


Current House
115th Congress
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116th Congress
Map Updated: Nov. 6, 2018 3:26 PM (ET)
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House Elections 2018
All 435 Voting Seats. 218 Needed for Control.
Current (a)

Competitive 2018 House Races

District Incumbent Party Since Term Predictions
2016 Margins

(a)Source: Ballotpedia (for margins). The margin is the percentage difference between the top two vote-getters in 2016.
More recent results (i.e., special elections held in 2017-18 for vacancies) are not displayed.
* Race was uncontested | ^Top two vote-getters were from the same party

(b)Source: Daily Kos. The margin is the percentage difference between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.

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