The Crosstab Midterms Forecast

Final Ratings: November 6, 2018
This is a House forecast map derived from G. Elliott Morris's district level probabilities published on his blog, The Crosstab.

The toss-up tan color is used when neither party has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Color gradients are used to show higher Democratic and Republican probabilities, deepening as the chance of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2018 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.

no 2018 election
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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up
Pro Map

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House Elections 2018

Current 197 236 0 2*
Pro 210 197 0 28
Forecast

Pro: 2018 Consensus Forecast
Forecast: Totals on interactive map
* Vacant Seat(s)

District Incumbent Party Since Term Predictions Margin of Victory
Pro Map House(a) President(b)
AK-AL Don Young
1973 23rd
14.3% 15.2%
AR-2 French Hill
2015 2nd
21.5% 10.7%
AZ-1 Tom O'Halleran
2017 1st
7.3% 1.1%
AZ-2 Martha McSally
2015 2nd
13.9% 4.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
AZ-6 David Schweikert
2011 4th
24.3% 10.0%
AZ-8 Debbie Lesko
2018 1st
37.1% 21.1%
CA-1 Doug LaMalfa
2013 3rd
18.1% 19.7%
CA-4 Tom McClintock
2009 5th
25.4% 14.7%
CA-7 Ami Bera
2013 3rd
2.3% 11.4%
CA-10 Jeff Denham
2011 4th
3.4% 3.0%
CA-16 Jim Costa
2013 3rd
16.1% 21.6%
CA-21 David Valadao
2013 3rd
13.5% 15.5%
CA-22 Devin Nunes
2003 8th
35.1% 9.5%
CA-24 Salud Carbajal
2017 1st
6.8% 20.2%
CA-25 Steve Knight
2015 2nd
6.3% 6.7%
CA-39 Edward Royce
1993 13th
14.5% 8.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
CA-45 Mimi Walters
2015 2nd
17.1% 5.4%
CA-48 Dana Rohrabacher
1989 15th
16.6% 1.7%
CA-49 Darrell Issa
2001 9th
0.5% 7.5%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
CA-50 Duncan Hunter
2009 5th
26.9% 15.0%
CO-3 Scott Tipton
2011 4th
14.3% 12.0%
CO-6 Mike Coffman
2009 5th
8.3% 8.9%
FL-6 OPEN
17.1% 17.0%
FL-7 Stephanie Murphy
2017 1st
3.0% 7.3%
FL-15 Dennis Ross
2011 4th
14.9% 10.0%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
FL-16 Vern Buchanan
2007 6th
19.5% 10.7%
FL-18 Brian Mast
2017 1st
10.5% 9.2%
FL-25 Mario Diaz-Balart
2003 8th
24.7% 1.8%
FL-26 Carlos Curbelo
2015 2nd
11.8% 16.3%
FL-27 Ileana Ros-Lehtinen
1989 15th
9.8% 19.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
GA-6 Karen Handel
2017 1st
23.4% 1.5%
GA-7 Rob Woodall
2011 4th
20.8% 6.3%
IA-1 Rod Blum
2015 2nd
7.7% 3.5%
IA-3 David Young
2015 2nd
13.7% 3.5%
IA-4 Steve King
2003 8th
22.6% 27.4%
IL-6 Peter Roskam
2007 6th
18.4% 7.0%
IL-12 Mike Bost
2015 2nd
14.6% 14.8%
IL-13 Rodney Davis
2013 3rd
19.3% 5.5%
IL-14 Randy Hultgren
2011 4th
18.6% 3.9%
IN-2 Jackie Walorski
2013 3rd
22.3% 23.2%
IN-9 Trey Hollingsworth
2017 1st
13.7% 26.9%
KS-2 Lynn Jenkins
2009 5th
28.4% 18.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
KS-3 Kevin Yoder
2011 4th
10.7% 1.2%
KY-6 Andy Barr
2013 3rd
22.2% 15.3%
ME-2 Bruce Poliquin
2015 2nd
9.6% 10.3%
MI-1 Jack Bergman
2017 1st
14.8% 21.3%
MI-2 Bill Huizenga
2011 4th
30.1% 17.6%
MI-3 Justin Amash
2011 4th
21.9% 9.4%
MI-6 Fred Upton
1987 16th
22.2% 8.4%
MI-7 Tim Walberg
2011 4th
15.0% 17.0%
MI-8 Mike Bishop
2015 2nd
16.9% 6.7%
MI-11 Dave Trott
2015 2nd
12.8% 4.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MN-1 Timothy Walz
2007 6th
0.8% 14.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MN-2 Jason Lewis
2017 1st
1.8% 1.2%
MN-3 Erik Paulsen
2009 5th
13.7% 9.4%
MN-7 Collin Peterson
1991 14th
5.0% 30.8%
MN-8 Rick Nolan
2013 3rd
0.6% 15.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MO-2 Ann Wagner
2013 3rd
20.9% 10.3%
MT-AL Greg Gianforte
2017 1st
15.6% 20.6%
NC-2 George Holding
2013 3rd
13.4% 9.6%
NC-8 Richard Hudson
2013 3rd
17.5% 15.0%
NC-9 Robert Pittenger
2013 3rd
16.4% 11.6%
Incumbent defeated in primary for 2018 election.
NC-13 Ted Budd
2017 1st
12.2% 9.4%
NE-2 Don Bacon
2017 1st
1.2% 2.2%
NH-1 Carol-Shea Porter
2017 1st
1.3% 1.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NJ-2 Frank LoBiondo
1995 12th
22.0% 4.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NJ-3 Tom MacArthur
2015 2nd
20.4% 6.2%
NJ-5 Josh Gottheimer
2017 1st
4.4% 1.0%
NJ-7 Leonard Lance
2009 5th
11.0% 1.1%
NJ-11 Rodney Frelinghuysen
1995 12th
19.1% 0.8%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NM-2 Steve Pearce
2011 4th
25.5% 10.2%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NV-3 Jacky Rosen
2017 1st
1.3% 1.0%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NV-4 Ruben Kihuen
2017 1st
4.0% 4.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NY-1 Lee Zeldin
2015 2nd
17.9% 12.3%
NY-2 Peter King
1993 13th
24.9% 9.1%
NY-11 Daniel Donovan
2015 2nd
24.9% 9.8%
NY-18 Sean P. Maloney
2013 3rd
11.2% 1.9%
NY-19 John Faso
2017 1st
8.6% 6.8%
NY-21 Elise Stefanik
2015 2nd
35.1% 13.9%
NY-22 Claudia Tenney
2017 1st
5.5% 15.5%
NY-23 Tom Reed
2010 5th
15.2% 14.8%
NY-24 John Katko
2015 2nd
21.1% 3.6%
NY-27 Chris Collins
2013 3rd
34.4% 24.5%
OH-1 Steve Chabot
2011 4th
18.4% 6.6%
OH-7 Bob Gibbs
2011 4th
35.1% 29.7%
OH-10 Michael Turner
2003 8th
31.4% 7.3%
OH-12 Troy Balderson
2018 1st
36.7% 11.3%
OH-14 David Joyce
2013 3rd
25.2% 11.5%
OH-15 Steve Stivers
2011 4th
32.3% 15.4%
OK-5 Steve Russell
2015 2nd
20.3% 13.4%
PA-1 Brian Fitzpatrick
2017 1st
N/A 2.0%
Redrawn PA-1 is mostly current PA-8 (Fitzpatrick)
PA-5 Mary Gay Scanlon
2018 1st
N/A 28.2%
Redrawn PA-5 is about 50% current PA-7, vacated by Meehan. Scanlon won special election in PA-7
PA-6 Ryan Costello
2015 2nd
N/A 9.3%
Redrawn PA-6 is about 50% current PA-6 (Costello, retiring)
PA-7 Susan Wild
2018 1st
N/A 1.1%
Redrawn PA-7 is mostly current PA-15 vacated by Dent. Wild won special election in PA-15
PA-8 Matthew Cartwright
2013 3rd
N/A 9.5%
Redrawn PA-8 is about 50% current PA-17 (Cartwright)
PA-10 Scott Perry
2013 3rd
N/A 8.9%
Redrawn PA-10 is about 60% current PA-4 (Perry), 30% current PA-11 (Barletta, running for Senate)
PA-14 Conor Lamb
2018 1st
N/A 29.0%
Redrawn PA-14 is majority current PA-18. Lamb running for re-election in PA-17
PA-16 Mike Kelly
2011 4th
N/A 19.9%
Redrawn PA-16 is mostly current PA-3 (Kelly)
PA-17 Keith Rothfus
2013 3rd
N/A 2.5%
Redrawn PA-17 is majority current PA-12 (Rothfus); Conor Lamb (current PA-18) running vs. Rothfus
SC-1 Mark Sanford
2013 3rd
21.7% 13.1%
Incumbent defeated in primary for 2018 election.
TX-2 Ted Poe
2005 7th
24.6% 9.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-6 Joe Barton
1985 17th
19.3% 12.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-7 John Culberson
2001 9th
12.3% 1.4%
TX-10 Michael McCaul
2005 7th
18.9% 9.0%
TX-21 Lamar Smith
1987 16th
20.6% 10.0%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-22 Pete Olson
2009 5th
19.0% 7.9%
TX-23 Will Hurd
2015 2nd
1.3% 3.4%
TX-24 Kenny Marchant
2005 7th
16.9% 6.2%
TX-31 John Carter
2003 8th
21.9% 12.7%
TX-32 Pete Sessions
1997 11th
52.1% 1.9%
UT-4 Mia Love
2015 2nd
12.5% 6.7%
VA-2 Scott Taylor
2017 1st
22.9% 3.4%
VA-5 Tom Garrett
2017 1st
16.7% 11.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
VA-7 Dave Brat
2014 3rd
15.3% 6.5%
VA-10 Barbara Comstock
2015 2nd
5.8% 10.0%
WA-3 Jaime Herrera Beutler
2011 4th
23.5% 7.4%
WA-5 Cathy McMorris Rodgers
2005 7th
19.3% 13.1%
WA-8 Dave Reichert
2005 7th
20.4% 3.0%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
WI-1 Paul Ryan
1999 10th
34.8% 10.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
WI-6 Glenn Grothman
2015 2nd
19.9% 16.9%
WV-2 Alex Mooney
2015 2nd
16.4% 36.4%
WV-3 OPEN
43.9% 49.2%
AL-1 Bradley Byrne
2014 3rd
* 29.4%
AL-2 Martha Roby
2011 4th
8.2% 31.9%
AL-3 Mike Rogers
2003 8th
34.0% 33.0%
AL-4 Robert Aderholt
1997 11th
* 63.0%
AL-5 Mo Brooks
2011 4th
33.5% 33.4%
AL-6 Gary Palmer
2015 2nd
49.1% 44.7%
AL-7 Terri Sewell
2011 4th
* 41.2%
AR-1 Rick Crawford
2011 4th
52.6% 34.8%
AR-3 Steve Womack
2011 4th
54.6% 31.4%
AR-4 Bruce Westerman
2015 2nd
49.8% 32.9%
AZ-3 Raul Grijalva
2003 8th
* 29.9%
AZ-4 Paul Gosar
2011 4th
42.9% 40.2%
AZ-5 Andy Biggs
2017 1st
28.2% 21.1%
AZ-7 Ruben Gallego
2015 2nd
50.5% 49.2%
AZ-9 Kyrsten Sinema
2013 3rd
21.9% 16.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
CA-2 Jared Huffman
2013 3rd
53.7% 45.7%
CA-3 John Garamendi
2009 5th
18.7% 12.6%
CA-5 Mike Thompson
1999 10th
53.7% 44.9%
CA-6 Doris Matsui
2005 7th
50.9% 44.8%
CA-8 Paul Cook
2013 3rd
24.5% 15.1%
CA-9 Jerry McNerney
2007 6th
14.7% 18.6%
CA-11 Mark DeSaulnier
2015 2nd
44.1% 48.8%
CA-12 Nancy Pelosi
1987 16th
61.7% 77.5%
CA-13 Barbara Lee
1998 11th
81.6% 80.6%
CA-14 Jackie Speier
2008 6th
61.7% 58.7%
CA-15 Eric Swalwell
2013 3rd
47.5% 45.7%
CA-17 Ro Khanna
2017 1st
22.0% ^ 53.4%
CA-18 Anna Eshoo
1993 13th
42.3% 53.2%
CA-19 Zoe Lofgren
1995 12th
47.9% 51.4%
CA-20 Jimmy Panetta
2017 1st
41.5% 47.2%
CA-23 Kevin McCarthy
2007 6th
38.4% 22.0%
CA-26 Julia Brownley
2013 3rd
20.8% 21.9%
CA-27 Judy Chu
2009 5th
34.8% 37.6%
CA-28 Adam Schiff
2001 9th
56.0% 49.8%
CA-29 Tony Cardenas
2013 3rd
49.5% ^ 60.9%
CA-30 Brad Sherman
1997 11th
45.3% 43.4%
CA-31 Pete Aguilar
2015 2nd
12.1% 21.1%
CA-32 Grace Napolitano
1999 10th
23.1% ^ 38.9%
CA-33 Ted Lieu
2015 2nd
32.9% 41.3%
CA-34 Jimmy Gomez
2017 1st
54.4% 72.9%
CA-35 Norma Torres
2015 2nd
44.8% 40.8%
CA-36 Raul Ruiz
2013 3rd
24.1% 8.8%
CA-37 Karen Bass
2011 4th
62.3% ^ 76.1%
CA-38 Linda Sanchez
2003 8th
41.0% 39.6%
CA-40 Lucille Roybal-Allard
1993 13th
62.3% 69.4%
CA-41 Mark Takano
2013 3rd
29.9% 27.9%
CA-42 Ken Calvert
1993 13th
17.6% 12.0%
CA-43 Maxine Waters
1991 14th
52.2% 61.7%
CA-44 Nanette Barragan
2017 1st
4.4% ^ 70.7%
CA-46 Lou Correa
2017 1st
40.0% ^ 38.4%
CA-47 Alan Lowenthal
2013 3rd
27.4% 31.6%
CA-51 Juan Vargas
2013 3rd
45.5% 49.0%
CA-52 Scott Peters
2013 3rd
13.1% 22.5%
CA-53 Susan Davis
2001 9th
34.0% 34.9%
CO-1 Diana DeGette
1997 11th
40.2% 45.8%
CO-2 Jared Polis
2009 5th
19.7% 21.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
CO-4 Ken Buck
2015 2nd
31.9% 23.1%
CO-5 Doug Lamborn
2007 6th
31.4% 24.0%
CO-7 Ed Perlmutter
2007 6th
15.4% 12.0%
CT-1 John Larson
1999 10th
30.4% 23.1%
CT-2 Joe Courtney
2007 6th
29.6% 2.9%
CT-3 Rosa DeLauro
1991 14th
38.1% 15.5%
CT-4 James Himes
2009 5th
19.8% 23.0%
CT-5 Elizabeth Esty
2013 3rd
16.0% 4.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
DE-AL Lisa Rochester
2017 1st
14.6% 11.5%
FL-1 Matt Gaetz
2017 1st
38.2% 39.3%
FL-2 Neal Dunn
2017 1st
37.4% 35.6%
FL-3 Ted Yoho
2013 3rd
16.8% 16.0%
FL-4 John Rutherford
2017 1st
42.6% 28.0%
FL-5 Al Lawson
2017 1st
28.5% 25.4%
FL-8 Bill Posey
2009 5th
30.6% 20.7%
FL-9 Darren Soto
2017 1st
15.0% 12.9%
FL-10 Val Demings
2017 1st
29.7% 26.9%
FL-11 Dan Webster
2017 1st
33.8% 32.3%
FL-12 Gus Bilirakis
2007 6th
37.2% 18.6%
FL-13 Charlie Crist
2017 1st
3.8% 3.2%
FL-14 Kathy Castor
2007 6th
23.6% 18.2%
FL-17 Thomas Rooney
2009 5th
27.6% 27.2%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
FL-19 Francis Rooney
2017 1st
31.8% 22.1%
FL-20 Alcee Hastings
1993 13th
60.6% 62.1%
FL-21 Lois Frankel
2013 3rd
17.9% 15.8%
FL-22 Ted Deutch
2010 5th
27.6% 19.5%
FL-23 Debbie Wasserman Schultz
2005 7th
16.2% 26.1%
FL-24 Frederica Wilson
2011 4th
* 67.5%
GA-1 Buddy Carter
2015 2nd
* 15.5%
GA-2 Sanford D. Jr. Bishop
1993 13th
22.5% 11.7%
GA-3 Drew Ferguson
2017 1st
36.7% 31.5%
GA-4 Henry C. 'Hank' Jr. Johnson
2007 6th
51.4% 53.1%
GA-5 John Lewis
1987 16th
68.9% 73.1%
GA-8 Austin Scott
2011 4th
35.3% 28.9%
GA-9 Doug Collins
2013 3rd
* 58.5%
GA-10 Jody Hice
2015 2nd
* 25.5%
GA-11 Barry Loudermilk
2015 2nd
34.8% 25.0%
GA-12 Rick Allen
2015 2nd
23.2% 16.2%
GA-13 David Scott
2003 8th
* 44.4%
GA-14 Tom Graves
2010 5th
* 52.9%
HI-1 Colleen Hanabusa
2016 2nd
49.2% 32.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
HI-2 Tulsi Gabbard
2013 3rd
62.3% 31.8%
IA-2 David Loebsack
2007 6th
7.5% 4.1%
ID-1 Raul Labrador
2011 4th
36.4% 38.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
ID-2 Michael Simpson
1999 10th
33.5% 24.7%
IL-1 Bobby Rush
1993 13th
48.2% 54.0%
IL-2 Robin Kelly
2013 3rd
59.6% 58.9%
IL-3 Daniel Lipinski
2005 7th
* 15.3%
IL-4 Luis Gutierrez
1993 13th
* 68.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
IL-5 Mike Quigley
2009 5th
40.4% 46.6%
IL-7 Danny Davis
1997 11th
68.5% 78.2%
IL-8 Raja Krishnamoorthi
2017 1st
16.6% 21.7%
IL-9 Janice Schakowsky
1999 10th
33.0% 45.2%
IL-10 Brad Schneider
2017 1st
5.2% 29.4%
IL-11 Bill Foster
2013 3rd
20.9% 23.5%
IL-15 John Shimkus
1997 11th
* 46.2%
IL-16 Adam Kinzinger
2011 4th
* 17.2%
IL-17 Cheri Bustos
2013 3rd
20.6% 0.6%
IL-18 Darin LaHood
2015 2nd
44.3% 27.3%
IN-1 Peter Visclosky
1985 17th
63.0% 12.6%
IN-3 Jim Banks
2017 1st
47.1% 35.0%
IN-4 Todd Rokita
2011 4th
34.1% 34.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
IN-5 Susan Brooks
2013 3rd
27.2% 11.8%
IN-6 Luke Messer
2013 3rd
42.4% 40.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
IN-7 Andre Carson
2008 6th
24.3% 22.8%
IN-8 Larry Bucshon
2011 4th
32.0% 33.7%
KS-1 Roger Marshall
2017 1st
39.6% 45.0%
KS-4 Ron Estes
2017 1st
31.1% 27.2%
KY-1 James Comer
2016 2nd
45.2% 48.5%
KY-2 Brett Guthrie
2009 5th
* 39.9%
KY-3 John Yarmuth
2007 6th
27.0% 15.0%
KY-4 Thomas Massie
2012 4th
42.6% 35.9%
KY-5 Harold Rogers
1981 19th
* 62.1%
LA-1 Steve Scalise
2008 6th
61.8% 42.0%
LA-2 Cedric Richmond
2011 4th
49.7% ^ 52.4%
LA-3 Clay Higgins
2017 1st
12.2% ^ 38.1%
LA-4 Mike Johnson
2017 1st
30.5% 24.0%
LA-5 Ralph Abraham
2015 2nd
63.1% ^ 29.4%
LA-6 Garret Graves
2015 2nd
47.8% 33.8%
MA-1 Richard Neal
1989 15th
55.5% 20.7%
MA-2 James McGovern
1997 11th
* 19.4%
MA-3 Niki Tsongas
2007 6th
37.5% 22.8%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MA-4 Joseph Kennedy III
2013 3rd
40.3% 24.2%
MA-5 Katherine Clark
2013 3rd
* 43.6%
MA-6 Seth Moulton
2015 2nd
* 17.9%
MA-7 Michael Capuano
1999 10th
* 72.2%
Incumbent defeated in primary for 2018 election.
MA-8 Stephen Lynch
2001 9th
45.0% 26.0%
MA-9 William Keating
2011 4th
22.1% 10.7%
MD-1 Andrew Harris
2011 4th
38.4% 28.6%
MD-2 C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger
2003 8th
29.0% 24.4%
MD-3 John Sarbanes
2007 6th
29.3% 30.5%
MD-4 Anthony Brown
2017 1st
52.7% 57.5%
MD-5 Steny Hoyer
1981 19th
38.0% 32.0%
MD-6 John Delaney
2013 3rd
15.9% 15.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MD-7 Elijah Cummings
1996 12th
53.1% 55.6%
MD-8 Jamie Raskin
2017 1st
26.4% 34.4%
ME-1 Chellie Pingree
2009 5th
16.0% 14.8%
MI-4 John Moolenaar
2015 2nd
29.5% 24.8%
MI-5 Daniel Kildee
2013 3rd
26.1% 4.2%
MI-9 Sander Levin
1983 18th
20.5% 7.8%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MI-10 Paul Mitchell
2017 1st
30.8% 32.2%
MI-12 Debbie Dingell
2015 2nd
35.1% 26.3%
MI-13 Brenda Jones
2018 1st
61.4% 60.7%
MI-14 Brenda Lawrence
2015 2nd
59.8% 60.9%
MN-4 Betty McCollum
2001 9th
23.4% 30.9%
MN-5 Keith Ellison
2007 6th
46.8% 55.2%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MN-6 Tom Emmer
2015 2nd
31.3% 25.7%
MO-1 William "Lacy" Clay Jr.
2001 9th
55.5% 58.2%
MO-3 Blaine Luetkemeyer
2009 5th
39.9% 39.0%
MO-4 Vicky Hartzler
2011 4th
40.0% 36.0%
MO-5 Emanuel Cleaver
2005 7th
20.7% 13.5%
MO-6 Sam Graves
2001 9th
39.6% 31.4%
MO-7 Billy Long
2011 4th
40.1% 45.7%
MO-8 Jason Smith
2013 3rd
51.7% 54.4%
MS-1 Trent Kelly
2015 2nd
40.8% 33.0%
MS-2 Bennie Thompson
1993 13th
38.0% 28.5%
MS-3 Gregg Harper
2009 5th
35.8% 24.5%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
MS-4 Steven Palazzo
2011 4th
37.2% 41.2%
NC-1 G. K. Butterfield
2004 8th
39.7% 37.0%
NC-3 Walter Jones
1995 12th
34.4% 23.6%
NC-4 David Price
1997 11th
36.4% 40.0%
NC-5 Virginia Foxx
2005 7th
16.8% 17.6%
NC-6 Mark Walker
2015 2nd
18.5% 14.7%
NC-7 David Rouzer
2015 2nd
21.8% 17.7%
NC-10 Patrick McHenry
2005 7th
26.3% 24.6%
NC-11 Mark Meadows
2013 3rd
28.2% 29.2%
NC-12 Alma Adams
2014 3rd
34.0% 40.0%
ND-AL Kevin Cramer
2013 3rd
45.4% 36.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NE-1 Jeff Fortenberry
2005 7th
38.9% 21.3%
NE-3 Adrian Smith
2007 6th
* 54.9%
NH-2 Ann Kuster
2013 3rd
4.4% 2.4%
NJ-1 Donald Norcross
2014 3rd
23.2% 24.5%
NJ-4 Christopher Smith
1981 19th
30.2% 14.8%
NJ-6 Frank Pallone
1988 16th
28.8% 15.6%
NJ-8 Albio Sires
2006 7th
58.5% 54.2%
NJ-9 Bill Jr. Pascrell
1997 11th
41.7% 31.2%
NJ-10 Donald Payne Jr.
2012 4th
73.8% 72.4%
NJ-12 Bonnie Coleman
2015 2nd
30.8% 33.2%
NM-1 Michelle Lujan Grisham
2013 3rd
30.3% 16.5%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
NM-3 Ben Ray Lujan
2009 5th
24.8% 15.1%
NV-1 Dina Titus
2013 3rd
33.1% 29.0%
NV-2 Marc Amodei
2011 4th
21.4% 12.3%
NY-3 Thomas Suozzi
2017 1st
5.6% 6.1%
NY-4 Kathleen Rice
2015 2nd
19.1% 9.6%
NY-5 Gregory Meeks
1998 11th
72.5% 73.0%
NY-6 Grace Meng
2013 3rd
45.4% 33.0%
NY-7 Nydia Velazquez
1993 13th
81.6% 76.5%
NY-8 Hakeem Jeffries
2013 3rd
86.6% 71.1%
NY-9 Yvette Clarke
2007 6th
84.8% 69.1%
NY-10 Jerrold Nadler
1992 14th
56.2% 59.5%
NY-12 Carolyn Maloney
1993 13th
66.4% 69.8%
NY-13 Adriano Espaillat
2017 1st
81.9% 86.9%
NY-14 Joseph Crowley
1999 10th
65.7% 57.9%
Incumbent defeated in primary for 2018 election.
NY-15 Jose Serrano
1990 15th
91.7% 88.9%
NY-16 Eliot Engel
1989 15th
89.3% 52.6%
NY-17 Nita Lowey
1989 15th
* 20.2%
NY-20 Paul Tonko
2009 5th
35.8% 13.5%
NY-25 Joe Morelle
2018 1st
12.4% 16.4%
NY-26 Brian Higgins
2005 7th
49.2% 19.6%
OH-2 Brad Wenstrup
2013 3rd
32.2% 16.1%
OH-3 Joyce Beatty
2013 3rd
37.1% 38.4%
OH-4 Jim Jordan
2007 6th
36.0% 33.6%
OH-5 Robert Latta
2007 6th
41.8% 25.1%
OH-6 Bill Johnson
2011 4th
41.4% 42.6%
OH-8 Warren Davidson
2016 2nd
41.8% 34.5%
OH-9 Marcy Kaptur
1983 18th
37.4% 22.2%
OH-11 Marcia Fudge
2008 6th
60.5% 63.5%
OH-13 Tim Ryan
2003 8th
35.5% 6.5%
OH-16 Jim Renacci
2011 4th
30.7% 16.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
OK-1 Kevin Hern
2018 1st
* 28.7%
OK-2 Markwayne Mullin
2013 3rd
47.4% 50.1%
OK-3 Frank Lucas
1994 13th
56.6% 52.7%
OK-4 Tom Cole
2003 8th
43.5% 37.4%
OR-1 Suzanne Bonamici
2012 4th
22.6% 22.8%
OR-2 Greg Walden
1999 10th
43.7% 20.1%
OR-3 Earl Blumenauer
1996 12th
51.4% 48.2%
OR-4 Peter DeFazio
1987 16th
15.8% 0.1%
OR-5 Kurt Schrader
2009 5th
10.5% 4.2%
PA-2 Brendan Boyle
2015 2nd
N/A 48.0%
Redrawn PA-2 is about 50% current PA-13 (Boyle), 40% current PA-1 (Brady, retiring)
PA-3 Dwight Evans
2016 2nd
N/A 83.9%
Redrawn PA-3 is mostly current PA-2 (Evans)
PA-4 (OPEN) Safe Democratic
N/A 19.4%
Redrawn PA-4 is split between several districts. No incumbent running for this safe Democratic seat
PA-9 (OPEN) Safe Republican
N/A 34.0%
Redrawn PA-9 is split between several districts. No incumbent running for this safe Republican seat.
PA-11 Lloyd Smucker
2017 1st
N/A 25.8%
Redrawn PA-11 is majority current PA-16 (Smucker)
PA-12 Tom Marino
2011 4th
N/A 36.5%
Redrawn PA-12 is majority current PA-10 (Marino)
PA-13 Bill Shuster
2001 9th
N/A 45.5%
Redrawn PA-13 is about 50% current PA-9 (Shuster, retiring)
PA-15 Glenn Thompson
2009 5th
N/A 43.4%
Redrawn PA-15 is majority current PA-5 (Thompson)
PA-18 Michael Doyle
1995 12th
N/A 26.8%
Redrawn PA-18 is mostly current PA-14 (Doyle)
RI-1 David Cicilline
2011 4th
29.4% 25.6%
RI-2 James Langevin
2001 9th
27.4% 7.1%
SC-2 Joe Wilson
2001 9th
24.4% 17.7%
SC-3 Jeff Duncan
2011 4th
45.8% 38.0%
SC-4 Trey Gowdy
2011 4th
36.2% 25.7%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
SC-5 Ralph Norman
2017 1st
20.5% 18.5%
SC-6 James Clyburn
1993 13th
42.5% 36.5%
SC-7 Tom Rice
2013 3rd
22.0% 18.9%
SD-AL Kristi Noem
2011 4th
28.2% 29.8%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TN-1 Phil Roe
2009 5th
62.9% 57.0%
TN-2 John J. Duncan Jr.
1988 16th
51.3% 35.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TN-3 Chuck Fleischmann
2011 4th
37.6% 35.2%
TN-4 Scott DesJarlais
2011 4th
30.1% 41.2%
TN-5 Jim Cooper
2003 8th
25.1% 18.4%
TN-6 Diane Black
2011 4th
49.3% 48.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TN-7 Marsha Blackburn
2003 8th
48.7% 39.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TN-8 David Kustoff
2017 1st
43.7% 35.6%
TN-9 Steve Cohen
2007 6th
59.9% 57.7%
TX-1 Louie Gohmert
2005 7th
49.8% 46.9%
TX-3 Sam Johnson
1991 14th
26.6% 14.2%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-4 John Ratcliffe
2015 2nd
76.0% 53.6%
TX-5 Jeb Hensarling
2003 8th
61.2% 28.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2018.
TX-8 Kevin Brady
1997 11th