270toWin Redesign

2016 Arizona Democratic Primary

Date: March 22, 2016
Delegates: 85
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Clinton
42

Sanders
33

Delegate Counts: New York Times

Polls

Source Date Sample Clinton Sanders Other
Poll Averages* 53.0% 23.0% -
Merrill Poll 3/15/2016 300 LV ±5.4% 50% 24% 26%
MBQF Consulting 2/29/2016 739 LV ±3.6% 56% 22% 22%
Gravis Marketing 8/19/2015 427 LV ±4.7% 56% 34% 10%
Public Policy 5/06/2015 268 RV ±6% 58% 16% 26%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.