Inside Elections 2026 House Ratings
By 270toWin Staff
March 10, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
Inside Elections released its initial House ratings this past Friday. The forecaster sees another closely-contested battle for control on the horizon.
This article from Roll Call summarizes the projections.
Both parties start with a similar number of Safe seats: 180 for Republicans, 176 for Democrats. Adding in those rated Likely brings the total to 192 to 183 in favor of the GOP.
The Battle for Control will play out in the other 45 districts. 218 seats are needed for control.
Note that the initial forecast excludes Ohio's 15 congressional districts as the state is expected to undergo a midcycle redistricting this year.
The initial Inside Elections map is below; click for an interactive version.
Headlines
Arizona Rep. Raul Grijalva Dies at Age 77
The 12 term Democrat had been receiving cancer treatment
Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire Not Running in 2026
She is the third Democrat to retire this cycle, all in states that represent Republican pickup opportunities
Overview and Live Results: March 11 State House Special Elections
State House vacancies in Iowa and Minnesota will be filled Tuesday. There is also a special State Senate primary in Alabama.
Inside Elections 2026 House Ratings
The forecaster's initial projection shows another tightly contested battle for control in 2026
Rep. Sylvester Turner of Texas Dies at 70
In November, the former mayor of Houston won the seat long-held by fellow Democrat Sheila Jackson Lee
