Interactive Maps for FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast

FiveThirtyEight has recently published its 2022 election forecasts for Senate, House, and governor. We've created interactive maps for each. You can use these as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 predictions.

For more background, see the 'Model Talk' podcast (watch or listen) from June 30. You can also read the model methodology.

In each map, the Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+).

Images below reflect the forecast on the morning of July 5. We will update this through the remainder of the election cycle. Click/tap an image for an interactive version.

Senate

House

Governor

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Legal U.S. Prediction Markets for President are Live

An appeals court ruling earlier this week set the stage for political betting by U.S. residents

Live Results: Alabama State House Special Election

The final special election before the November general election will fill a vacant safely Democratic seat in the Birmingham area.

Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Congressional Special Election

The winner will complete the term of the late Democratic Rep. Donald Payne Jr.

Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries

The final three statewide primaries before the November 5 general election take place Tuesday

Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

Outside two GOP congressional primaries, there's not all that much to see in this Democratic stronghold