April 26, 2021
The Census Bureau announced Monday that the resident population of the U.S. on April 1, 2020 - the official date of the Census - was 331,449,281. The Bureau also released apportionment results for the 50 states. This updates the number of congressional districts that each state will have over the next decade. That in turn updates the electoral map that will be used for the 2024 and 2028 presidential election.
We've updated the interactive electoral map to include both 2020 and 2024 numbers, as well as the ability to see the change associated with the apportionment. For example, taking the actual results of the 2020 election, the change map looks like this:
If the 2024 election were to mirror that of 2020, the result would be 303-235 instead of 306-232.
In the end, only 13 states saw a shift in congressional districts. Texas gained 2, and Florida 1. Earlier estimates had those states gaining 3 and 2, respectively. 11 other states gained or lost a district. Three states expected to lose a district - Alabama, Minnesota and Rhode Island - did not. Likewise, Arizona did not gain a district.
Democratic nominee - who will be a heavy favorite in November - may not be known for several weeks
In advance of redistricting, a look at the current partisan composition of the House, including a table of incumbents and 2020 margins
Georgia will fill two vacancies in its state house, including a battleground district in suburban Atlanta. There's also a special primary in Wisconsin.
Adams, Garcia, Wiley and Yang all see double-digit support, with Adams reaching majority support in the ranked choice simulation
The former incumbent, Democrat Troy Carter, resigned after being elected to Congress in an April special election.