Politico: Final Election Forecast

November 2, 2020

This is Politico's final forecast for the 2020 general election.

November 2 update and analysis

The full Politico election forecast

Click or tap any of these maps for an interactive version.


President

November 2: Alaska moves from Likely to Leans Republican; Georgia from Leans Republican to Toss-up; Indiana from Safe to Likely Republican.


Senate

November 2: Georgia (regular) moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up; Virginia from Likely to Safe Democratic.


House

November 2: 17 changes (scroll to 'Latest rating changes')


Governor

November 2: New Hampshire moves from Leans to Likely Republican.


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Headlines

Iowa Sen. Chuck Grassley Will Seek an 8th Term in 2022

Ending months of suspense, the 88 year old Republican announced his intention early Friday morning

Republican Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez Not Running in 2022

He was one of ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump

Early Voting Begins in Virginia Gubernatorial Election

Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin look to succeed term-limited Gov. Ralph Northam (D).

Overview and Live Results: California Gubernatorial Recall Election

An expensive effort to remove Gov. Gavin Newsom from office ends with Tuesday's vote. Recent polling indicates the recall will fail.

Overview and Live Results: State House Special Elections in Iowa and Tennessee

Winners will complete the term of two legislators who died earlier this year