Politico: Final Election Forecast

This is Politico's final forecast for the 2020 general election.

November 2 update and analysis

The full Politico election forecast

Click or tap any of these maps for an interactive version.


President

November 2: Alaska moves from Likely to Leans Republican; Georgia from Leans Republican to Toss-up; Indiana from Safe to Likely Republican.


Senate

November 2: Georgia (regular) moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up; Virginia from Likely to Safe Democratic.


House

November 2: 17 changes (scroll to 'Latest rating changes')


Governor

November 2: New Hampshire moves from Leans to Likely Republican.


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Headlines

Sabato's Crystal Ball Initial 2025-26 Gubernatorial Ratings

38 seats will hold elections through 2026, including New Jersey and Virginia this year

Live Results: April 29 Iowa and Minnesota Legislative Special Elections

Vacancies will be filled in the Iowa State House and Minnesota State Senate

Rep. Andy Barr Running to Succeed Sen. Mitch McConnell

A closely-contested primary against former Attorney General Daniel Cameron is expected.

Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections

Three vacancies will be filled across these two states

Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens Running for U.S. Senate

She will look to succeed retiring fellow Democratic Sen. Gary Peters