Republican Garcia Leads in California District 25 Special Election

May 13, 2020

As expected, most of Tuesday's elections were decided pretty quickly.  Among the more notable races:

  • Republican Tom Tiffany prevailed in the Wisconsin 7th district special election; keeping that seat in GOP hands
  • Kara Eastman easily won the Democratic nomination in Nebraska's 2nd district; setting up a rematch of 2018 against incumbent Republican Don Bacon
  • Joe Biden received over 77% of the vote in Nebraska's Democratic presidential primary, winning at least 27 of the 29 available delegates

California District 25 Special Election

The one race that remains undecided is the special election to fill the vacancy in California's 25th district.  Republican Mike Garcia has a lead of 56%-44% in the votes that have been counted thus far.  While Garcia seems more likely to win here than not, no winner has yet been declared. The vast majority of ballots in this race were cast by mail, and many remain to be processed.  

If Garcia does win, it will be the first GOP pickup of a Democratic-held U.S. House seat in the state since 1998.

Regardless of the outcome, Garcia and Democrat Christy Smith will meet again in the November general election, as the seat - along with all others in the U.S. House - is up for a regular two-year term. Given the dynamics of a presidential election year, Tuesday's results may not be predictive of how the rematch will play out.

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