September 10, 2019
There are currently two vacancies in the U.S. House. Both are in North Carolina and both are to be filled via special elections Tuesday. Polls close at 7:30 PM Eastern Time. Live results will appear below after that time.
9th Congressional District: This district stretches from suburban Charlotte eastward into more rural areas. The seat has been vacant since the beginning of the current Congress in January. An apparent narrow GOP win in the November, 2018 midterms was tossed out because of ballot fraud. The 2018 Democratic nominee, businessman Dan McCready is again on the ballot. His opponent, state Sen. Dan Bishop won the Republican nomination in a large primary field. Mark Harris, the party's 2018 nominee, chose not to run in the special election.
Although Donald Trump won this GOP-leaning district by 12 points in 2016, only 905 votes separated the candidates in the discarded election. Tuesday's election is seen as a toss-up. For more information on how we got here and what to expect, see this analysis from FiveThirtyEight.
3rd Congressional District: This district covers the far eastern part of the state, including the Outer Banks. Long-time GOP Rep. Walter Jones died in February; he ran unopposed to win his final term in 2018. Donald Trump won here by nearly 24% over Hillary Clinton in 2016. The Republican nominee, state Rep. Greg Murphy, is likely to prevail over Democrat Allen Thomas, the former mayor of Greenville.
Although both parties will spin the results however they turn out, Democrats will have had a very good day with a win in the 9th district and a single-digit loss in the 3rd. Republicans need a win in the 9th - preferably by several points - and a decisive margin of victory in the 3rd.
The U.S. House currently has 235 Democrats, 197 Republicans and one independent.