August 24, 2018
Republican Troy Balderson has been certified as the winner of the recent special election in Ohio's 12th congressional district. After absentee and provisional ballots were counted, Balderson defeated Democrat Danny O'Connor by 1,680 votes, or 0.8%.
Once Balderson is sworn in, Republicans will hold 237 seats, Democrats 193, with five vacancies. Those seats will remain unfilled until after the November 6th midterm elections.
Balderson and O'Connor will have a rematch for a full term this November. Most forecasters give a slight edge to Balderson at the moment. Donald Trump won here by about 11% in 2016.
He's likely to cross the threshold when this week's remaining delegates are awarded. However, if he comes up short, he'll almost certainly lock it up when Georgia polls close next Tuesday.
Nine-term term incumbent becomes 2nd member to lose primary in 2020
On one of the busier days of the reshuffled calendar, Joe Biden has a chance to clinch the nomination. However, a late change in Pennsylvania may delay that opportunity.
An increasingly blue state overall, the Cascade mountain range marks both a physical and political separation between largely liberal and conservative populations.
At the presidential level, the Magnolia State has voted for only one Democratic nominee since 1960. The population demographics drive remarkably consistent results every four years.