Updated 2018 Senate Ratings from Cook Political Report

August 17, 2017

The Cook Political Report has made five ratings changes in their 2018 Senate forecast. Four races have moved to toss-up, including Indiana, Missouri, Nevada and West Virginia. Of those, only Nevada currently has a Republican incumbent.  


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com
Republicans currently have 52 Senate seats, to 48 for the Democrats. The Democratic number includes two independents that caucus with that party. Given the current political climate, it would seem that the party should be well-positioned to gain seats and control in the 2018 midterms. However, as we've noted before, that is unlikely to happen. Only 9 of the 34 seats to be contested - including this year's Alabama special election - are held by Republicans. Of those, only two, Arizona and Nevada, are likely to be competitive. That means even if Democrats hold all 25 of their seats -- many of which are competitive -- and win those two Republican seats, they still only get to 50 seats. In that scenario, Vice-President Mike Pence would break the tie vote, and Republicans would retain control.
comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Overview & Live Results: Battleground State House Special Election in Georgia

Georgia will fill two vacancies in its state house, including a battleground district in suburban Atlanta. There's also a special primary in Wisconsin.

Poll: Adams Leads Competitive NYC Mayoral Race; Primary is Next Tuesday

Adams, Garcia, Wiley and Yang all see double-digit support, with Adams reaching majority support in the ranked choice simulation

New Orleans State Senate District 7 Special All Party Primary Election

The former incumbent, Democrat Troy Carter, resigned after being elected to Congress in an April special election.

GOP Rep. Vicky Hartzler to Run for Open Missouri U.S. Senate Seat

She joins what will be a crowded field hoping to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Roy Blunt

Rep. Val Demings Announces 2022 Challenge to Sen. Marco Rubio

This move was widely expected and is now official. The Florida senate seat is one of 34 to be contested in 2022.