270toWin Redesign

Poll Gives Republican Gianforte 12 point lead in Montana Special Election

April 6, 2017

A Gravis Marketing survey of Montana likely voters gives Republican Greg Gianforte a 12 point lead over Democrat Rob Quist in the race for the state's at-large congressional seat. The special election will be held May 25th. The seat became vacant when Republican Ryan Zinke resigned after being confirmed as Secretary of the Interior. 

Gianforte, a technology entrepreneur, saw 50% support in the poll, with Quist, a musician, at 38%. The seat has been in Republican hands since 1997. Zinke won re-election by 15 points in November, while Donald Trump won the state by 21 points. The race is rated as likely Republican by Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball and The Cook Political Report, while Inside Elections has it as safe Republican. 

 

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Rep. Ted Yoho of Florida Won't Run in 2020

Will honor pledge to only serve four terms in Congress

Andrew Yang Qualifies for Final Presidential Debate of 2019

He's the seventh candidate to make the December 19 debate stage

The Road to 270: Oklahoma

The fourth in a weekly series that will cover each state's political landscape leading up to the 2020 presidential election

Introducing the 2020 Democratic Delegate Calculator

The road to 1,990 pledged delegates begins in Iowa on February 3. See how the candidates are doing based on polling.

Rep. George Holding to Retire; First Casualty of Redrawn Congressional Maps

Redistricting has made the North Carolina 2nd district a safely Democratic seat