New Polls Find Clinton Leads Trump on Eve of Republican Convention

July 17, 2016

Three national polls out on the eve of the Republican convention find Hillary Clinton with a lead of four to seven points over Donald Trump. 

Looking at these current results vs. late June polls from the same pollsters finds the largest shift in the ABC/Washington Post poll, which showed Clinton with a 12 point lead last month. There was no change in the NBC poll's five point spread, while CNN showed Clinton gaining two points on Trump.


Each pollster also did a heat that included Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Jill Stein. Both continue to attract significiant interest for 3rd party candidates, with Gary Johnson getting as much as 13% support. The addition of these two did not significantly affect the overall spread between Clinton and Trump, indicating they are impacting the presumptive Democratic and Republican nominees roughly equally.

For those interested, we will be adding results for Johnson and Stein to our polling pages within the next few days.

comments powered by Disqus


New and Updated Features on the 270toWin Website

The electoral map is changing for 2024. This update includes the projected changes as well as Senate and governor maps for 2022

Republican Claudia Tenney Wins NY-22; Final Undecided House Race from November

Democratic incumbent Anthony Brindisi conceded after New York state certified the election

Alabama Sen. Richard Shelby Won't Seek Reelection in 2022

The 6th term Republican is the longest serving Senator in the state's history

Update: 2020 Election if All States Allocated Electoral Votes Like Maine and Nebraska

Biden would have won a narrower 277-261 using this congressional district method, one which is heavily influenced by the number of gerrymandered districts around the country

Sabato's Crystal Ball Initial Ratings for 2022 Senate Election

Another tight battle for control appears on tap in the 2022 midterms