Finally, a Missouri Poll! Trump, Clinton Each Lead by 7

March 11, 2016

The good news is we finally have a current Missouri poll. The bad news is that the sample size is quite small and so caution should be used in relying too heavily on the results.

Republican: The poll found Donald Trump at 36% with Ted Cruz seven points back at 29%. Marco Rubio and John Kasich are non-factors, at below 10%. With a margin of error of 7%, it would be prudent to say that either Trump or Cruz could win. This is consistent with what we noted earlier in our discussion of the March 15 Republican primaries. That narrative also included information on how Missouri allocates its 52 delegates.

 

Democrat: The poll also found a competitive race between Clinton and Sanders; Clinton with a 47-40 lead. The sample size is even smaller here, however, and sports an 8% margin of error. 

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Unanimous Supreme Court Says States Can Punish or Replace Faithless Electors

Settles various court cases emerging from the 2016 election that saw 10 electors attempt to be faithless to their pledged candidate

The Road to 270: South Carolina

Bordered by two competitive 2020 states (NC and GA), the state seems safe for Trump. It remains to be seen if his coattails help reelect Graham and/or regain SC-1

Rep. Scott Tipton Ousted in CO-3 GOP Primary

Becomes 5th incumbent to lose this year

Overview and Live Results for June 30 Primaries in Colorado, Oklahoma and Utah

A handful of interesting races to watch, including Dem. Senate primary in Colorado and a very tight GOP gubernatorial race in Utah.

Amy McGrath Wins Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary

McGrath held off a late challenge from Charles Booker