New Hampshire Polling Update

February 5, 2016

Despite some variability across individual polls, Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders retain double-digit leads as we head into the final weekend before Tuesday's New Hampshire primary. The five polls being averaged below were all released today (one yesterday on the Democratic side).

Republican: Trump and Rubio were 1-2 in all five of today's releases, with Trump's lead ranging from 10 to 21 points. Ted Cruz and John Kasich are essentially tied for 3rd, on average, although the two were no closer than 3 points in any individual poll. 

Correction: Rubio had 19.4% in the Suffolk poll, which rounds to 19%. The text "Trump's lead ranging from 9 to 21 points" in the above paragraph has been updated to reflect this change.

Democrat: Bernie Sanders leads in all five polls, with margins ranging from 9 to 20 points. Interestingly, the Suffolk survey showed the smallest spread in both parties.

 American Research Group and UMass Lowell have been conducting daily tracking polls, so expect to see continued polling releases over the weekend. 

The Tuesday snowstorm threat we discussed earlier seems to have waned with this afternoon's forecasts. The storm is still expected to form, but looks to track further offshore than earlier projections, limiting snow accumulations. Things could change again, of course.

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Texas 6th District Special Election Scheduled for July 27

Two Republicans advanced in the May 1 primary, taking the suspense out of which party will win the seat

Update on U.S. House Vacancies After Swearing In of Troy Carter

Democrats hold a 219-212 advantage; this will grow by one later in the week when GOP Rep. Steve Stivers steps down

Overview and Live Results: Mayoral Elections in Omaha and Anchorage

Although officially nonpartisan, both of these races feature a Democrat vs. Republican match-up.

New York Times Endorses Kathryn Garcia for NYC Mayor

Party primaries are June 22; the November winner will succeed termed-out mayor Bill de Blasio

Cincinnati Mayoral Primary Overview and Live Results

Incumbent mayor is termed out; top two finishers will advance to November 2 general election