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Seven Congressional Vacancies: Special Election Update

Upshot Presidential Forecast

This isn't a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from The New York Times Upshot state-level probabilities. The Upshot model combines state polls, a state's past election results and national polling to generate these probabilities.

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

Map Features | Map Library | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline
Democrat
238
Republican
138

20
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Excl. faithless electors Details >>
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 8:26 AM (ET)

Customize your map by changing one or more states; return here to share it.

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Headlines

Seven Congressional Vacancies: Special Election Update

The next special election will be on Saturday, June 30 in TX-27. District was formerly held by Blake Farenthold

Rep. Mark Sanford is Defeated; Trump-Style Candidates do Well in Tuesday Primaries

The 3rd term Republican becomes the 2nd member of Congress to lose a primary in 2018

Primary Tuesday: Recap of Key Races; Link to Results

Five states hold primaries today, with a number of races expected to be competitive

Primary Tuesday: Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina and Virginia

Five states will select nominees for the November Midterms this week; Mainers will make their choices via ranked-choice voting

Rep. Keith Ellison to Run for Minnesota Attorney General

The 6 term Democrat entered the race on the final date for candidate filing; he will not run for reelection to the House






About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. It is not about getting the most overall popular votes, as we saw in the 2000 election, when the electoral vote winner (Bush) and the popular vote winner (Gore) were different.
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