Upshot Presidential Forecast
This isn’t a popularity contest™
Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from The New York Times Upshot state-level probabilities. The Upshot model combines state polls, a state's past election results and national polling to generate these probabilities.
The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Georgia Senate Runoff Election
The final election of 2022 will determine whether the Senate remains evenly divided, or Democrats hold a two seat majority in 2023
Georgia Runoff Polls Show Warnock Narrowly Ahead of Walker
Polling for the December 6 runoff has been consistent, with Warnock slightly ahead
Sen. Mike Braun to Run for Indiana Governor in 2024
The freshman Republican will attempt to succeed termed-out Gov. Eric Holcomb
Virginia Democratic Rep. Donald McEachin Dies at 61
He had been elected to a fourth term in Congress earlier this month
Alaska Ranked Choice Runoff Results
The tabulation will determine winners in the U.S. Senate and U.S. House races
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