Upshot Presidential Forecast
This isn’t a popularity contest™
Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from The New York Times Upshot state-level probabilities. The Upshot model combines state polls, a state's past election results and national polling to generate these probabilities.
The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.
You are viewing:
VT |
|
NH |
|
MA |
|
RI |
|
CT |
|
NJ |
|
DE |
|
MD |
|
DC |
Map :
Headlines
Overview & Live Results: Primary Day in Georgia, Alabama, and Arkansas; Runoff Elections in Texas
The value of an endorsement from Donald Trump will be put to the test in a number of nominating contests.
Live Results: Minnesota Congressional District Special Primary Election
The district has been vacant since the February death of Republican Jim Hagedorn. Special general election will be August 9.
Live Results: State House Special Elections in New York and South Carolina
There is one vacancy in each state that will be filled Tuesday
New York Court Finalizes Congressional Map; Shapes Added to Interactive Map
The map replaces one ruled a Democratic gerrymander by this same court in late March
Florida Court of Appeals Reinstates Previously Enacted Redistricting Map
Further litigation, in front of the Florida Supreme Court, is likely
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: