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Terry McAuliffe Takes a Pass on 2020; an Updated List of Those Running

Upshot Presidential Forecast

This isn't a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from The New York Times Upshot state-level probabilities. The Upshot model combines state polls, a state's past election results and national polling to generate these probabilities.

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

Map Features | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline

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As of 3/9/19 Details >>
MA
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ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:26 UTC (12:26 PM EDT)

Customize your map by changing one or more states; return here to share it.

Headlines

Terry McAuliffe Takes a Pass on 2020; an Updated List of Those Running

The former Virginia governor will not join the crowded Democratic field

Former GOP Gov. Bill Weld to Challenge Trump in 2020

The 2016 Libertarian vice presidential nominee becomes the first official challenger to the incumbent president

Democratic Primary Early State Polling Update

Polls this week showed the state of the race in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina

Despite Recent Controversy, Biden Maintains Lead Among Democratic Voters

Biden and Sanders remain well ahead of the large field of prospective 2020 nominees

Massachusetts Primary Poll: Warren 3rd in Her Home State; Trails Sanders and Biden

Bernie Sanders has a small lead over Joe Biden; Pete Buttigieg breaks into double digits


About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. Receiving the most votes nationwide is irrelevant, as we have seen in two of the most recent five presidential elections where the electoral vote winner and the popular vote winner were different.
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