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New York Mayor Bill de Blasio Launches Presidential Campaign

Upshot Presidential Forecast

This isn't a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from The New York Times Upshot state-level probabilities. The Upshot model combines state polls, a state's past election results and national polling to generate these probabilities.

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

Map Features | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline

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As of 5/1/19 Details >>
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:26 UTC (12:26 PM EDT)

Customize your map by changing one or more states; return here to share it.

Headlines

New York Mayor Bill de Blasio Launches Presidential Campaign

Becomes third mayor to join crowded Democratic field; no sitting mayor has ever been elected president

North Carolina 9th District Republican Primary: Overview and Results

The seat has been vacant since January as November's election results were discarded

Montana Gov. Steve Bullock Announces Presidential Run

He becomes the 23rd Democrat to seek the party's 2020 nomination

Biden Nears Majority Democratic Support in New South Carolina Poll

The former vice president is at 46%, up from 32% about a month ago

Democratic Primary Polls - Who Leads in Each State

A one-page snapshot of the most current polling in each nominating contest


About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. Receiving the most votes nationwide is irrelevant, as we have seen in two of the most recent five presidential elections where the electoral vote winner and the popular vote winner were different.
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