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Arizona Sen. Jon Kyl to Resign at Year-End; Appointed After Death of John McCain

Upshot Presidential Forecast

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The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from The New York Times Upshot state-level probabilities. The Upshot model combines state polls, a state's past election results and national polling to generate these probabilities.

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

Map Features | Map Library | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline
Democrat
238
Republican
138

20
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RI
CT
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DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 8:26 AM (ET)

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Headlines

Arizona Sen. Jon Kyl to Resign at Year-End; Appointed After Death of John McCain

Gov. Doug Ducey will appoint a replacement, who will serve until a special election in 2020

2020 Senate Interactive Map with Initial Ratings

GOP will be defending 22 seats vs. just 9 in 2018, although most of those are in deep red states.

A List of Prospective 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates

Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick and attorney Michael Avenatti have been removed from the list

North Carolina Delays Certification of 9th District Race; AP Retracts Call for GOP

Allegations of absentee ballot irregularities are being investigated; a hearing is scheduled for Dec. 21

Split Senate Delegations to Decline Substantially in 2019

Already at a historically low number, the number of states with a split delegation drops to 10 in 2019




About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. Receiving the most votes nationwide is irrelevant, as we have seen in two of the most recent five presidential elections where the electoral vote winner and the popular vote winner were different.
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