2024 House Consensus Forecast Map

The consensus map for the 2024 House Election is derived by aggregating the following forecasts.

To arrive at the consensus map, we assign a party-specific point value to each rating category (safe, likely, leaning, tilt, toss-up). From there we calculate the average rating. Those average ratings determine the consensus rating, which may or may not be the most frequent one.

Only districts rated safe by all of the forecasts are shown in the darkest shade of blue or red on the map. This allows for a more inclusive look at districts that could be competitive in the right circumstances.