Virginia 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 3 Polls† 46.7% 44.3% -
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 45% 47% 8%
Florida Atlantic U. 7/17/2024 544 LV 46% 42% 12%
NY Times / Siena College 7/15/2024 661 LV ±4.4% 49% 44% 7%

Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 43.0% 1.0% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 38.5% -
Florida Atlantic U. 7/17/2024 544 LV 43% - 10% - - 38% 9%
NY Times / Siena College 7/15/2024 661 LV ±4.4% 43% 1% 7% 0% 0% 39% 10%

Biden vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 3 Polls† 46.0% 44.0% -
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 43% 45% 12%
Florida Atlantic U. 7/17/2024 544 LV 47% 42% 11%
NY Times / Siena College 7/15/2024 661 LV ±4.4% 48% 45% 7%
co/efficient 6/13/2024 851 LV ±3.4% 41% 41% 18%
Fox News 6/06/2024 1,107 RV ±3% 48% 48% 4%
Roanoke College 5/29/2024 711 LV ±4.2% 42% 42% 16%
Mason-Dixon 1/05/2024 625 RV ±4% 49% 43% 8%
Virginia Commonwealth Univ. 8/03/2023 747 RV 43% 40% 17%
Roanoke College 3/02/2023 585 RV 47% 46% 7%

Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 38% 2% 8% 2% 0% 43% 7%
Fox News 6/06/2024 1,107 RV ±3% 42% 2% 9% 2% - 41% 4%
Roanoke College 5/29/2024 711 LV ±4.2% 40% 3% 8% 1% - 38% 10%
Mason-Dixon 1/05/2024 625 RV ±4% 42% - 14% - - 36% 8%

†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Virginia Winner
Biden
Clinton
Bush
Dole
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Bush
Clinton
2020
2016
2004
1996