North Carolina 2024 Presidential Election Polls
Harris vs. Trump
| Source | Date | Sample | Harris | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/26/2024 | 586 LV ±3.7% | 43% | 46% | 11% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 5/22/2024 | 704 RV ±4% | 44% | 47% | 9% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 4/24/2024 | 703 RV ±4% | 40% | 50% | 10% | |
| Emerson College | 2/21/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 41% | 50% | 9% | |
Harris vs. TrumpIncluding Third Parties and Independents
A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.
| Source | Date | Sample | Harris | Stein | Kennedy | West | Oliver | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/26/2024 | 586 LV ±3.7% | 43% | 0% | 4% | - | 0% | 46% | 7% | |
Biden vs. Trump
| Source | Date | Sample | Biden | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 4 Polls† | 40.8% | 45.8% | - | |||
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/21/2024 | 461 LV ±4.1% | 39% | 45% | 16% | |
| Emerson College | 7/18/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 41% | 48% | 11% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/15/2024 | 420 LV | 42% | 44% | 14% | |
| The Times (UK) / YouGov | 7/15/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3.7% | 40% | 44% | 16% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 7/06/2024 | 696 RV ±4% | 43% | 46% | 11% | |
| Spry Strategies | 6/17/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 44% | 48% | 8% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 6/17/2024 | 534 LV | 40% | 43% | 17% | |
| East Carolina Univ. | 6/06/2024 | 1,332 LV ±3.1% | 43% | 48% | 9% | |
| North Star Opinion Research | 6/03/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 41% | 49% | 10% | |
| Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy | 5/23/2024 | 601 LV ±4% | 41% | 48% | 11% | |
Biden vs. TrumpIncluding Third Parties and Independents
A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.
| Source | Date | Sample | Biden | Stein | Kennedy | West | Oliver | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 4 Polls† | 39.3% | 1.0% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 44.5% | - | |||
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/21/2024 | 461 LV ±4.1% | 39% | 1% | 5% | - | 1% | 45% | 9% | |
| Emerson College | 7/18/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 38% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 47% | 6% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/15/2024 | 420 LV | 42% | 1% | 4% | - | 0% | 44% | 9% | |
| The Times (UK) / YouGov | 7/15/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3.7% | 40% | 1% | 4% | 0% | - | 44% | 11% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 7/06/2024 | 696 RV ±4% | 40% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 42% | 8% | |
| Spry Strategies | 6/17/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 37% | - | 8% | - | - | 45% | 10% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 6/17/2024 | 534 LV | 40% | 1% | 7% | - | 0% | 43% | 9% | |
| North Star Opinion Research | 6/03/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 32% | 2% | 9% | 3% | - | 44% | 10% | |
| Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy | 5/23/2024 | 601 LV ±4% | 36% | 1% | 8% | 3% | - | 44% | 8% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 5/22/2024 | 704 RV ±4% | 38% | 1% | 7% | 1% | - | 46% | 7% | |
†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.
When did it last happen?
This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
