Montana 2024 Presidential Election Polls
Harris vs. Trump
| Source | Date | Sample | Harris | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 2 Polls† | 39.0% | 58.0% | - | |||
| NY Times / Siena College | 10/10/2024 | 656 LV ±4.3% | 40% | 57% | 3% | |
| RMG Research | 9/23/2024 | 491 LV ±4.4% | 38% | 59% | 3% | |
| AARP | 9/05/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 41% | 56% | 3% | |
| RMG Research | 8/15/2024 | 540 RV ±4.2% | 39% | 57% | 4% | |
| American Pulse | 8/14/2024 | 538 LV ±4.2% | 38% | 52% | 10% | |
| Emerson College | 8/08/2024 | 1,000 LV ±3% | 40% | 55% | 5% | |
Harris vs. TrumpIncluding Third Parties and Independents
A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.
| Source | Date | Sample | Harris | Stein | Kennedy | West | Oliver | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY Times / Siena College | 10/10/2024 | 656 LV ±4.3% | 39% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 56% | 5% | |
| RMG Research | 8/15/2024 | 540 RV ±4.2% | 39% | - | 2% | - | - | 57% | 2% | |
| American Pulse | 8/14/2024 | 538 LV ±4.2% | 38% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 52% | 2% | |
| Emerson College | 8/08/2024 | 1,000 LV ±3% | 39% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 54% | 2% | |
Biden vs. TrumpIncludes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
| Source | Date | Sample | Biden | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 2 Polls† | 32.0% | 53.5% | - | |||
| Emerson College | 3/06/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 35% | 56% | 9% | |
| SurveyUSA | 2/19/2024 | 549 LV ±4.5% | 29% | 51% | 20% | |
| Emerson College | 10/17/2023 | 447 RV ±4.6% | 28% | 49% | 23% | |
| J.L. Partners | 8/31/2023 | 741 LV | 39% | 51% | 10% | |
Biden vs. TrumpIncluding Third Parties and Independents
A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.
| Source | Date | Sample | Biden | Stein | Kennedy | West | Oliver | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 3/06/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 28% | 1% | 8% | 1% | - | 49% | 13% | |
†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.
When did it last happen?
This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
