California 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Biden vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 3 Polls† 55.0% 30.7% -
Emerson College 2/29/2024 1,000 LV ±3% 57% 35% 8%
PPIC 2/23/2024 1,075 LV ±3.9% 55% 32% 13%
Emerson College 2/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 55% 33% 12%
USC Dornsife 2/01/2024 1,416 LV ±2.6% 53% 25% 22%
Emerson College 1/18/2024 1,087 RV 54% 34% 12%
Berkeley IGS 1/15/2024 4,470 LV ±2% 56% 37% 7%
PPIC 12/07/2023 1,113 LV ±3.8% 54% 30% 16%
Emerson College 11/17/2023 1,000 RV ±3% 50% 37% 13%
PPIC 11/09/2023 1,395 LV ±4% 60% 29% 11%
Berkeley IGS 11/08/2023 4,506 LV ±2.5% 46% 31% 23%
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Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 52.0% 1.0% 7.0% 2.5% 28.0% -
Emerson College 2/29/2024 1,000 LV ±3% 51% 1% 7% 2% 31% 8%
Emerson College 2/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 49% 1% 8% 1% 31% 10%
USC Dornsife 2/01/2024 1,416 LV ±2.6% 53% 1% 7% 3% 25% 11%
Emerson College 1/18/2024 1,087 RV 47% 1% 6% 1% 32% 13%
Berkeley IGS 1/15/2024 4,470 LV ±2% 47% 2% 7% 2% 31% 11%
Emerson College 11/17/2023 1,000 RV ±3% 43% 2% 8% 1% 31% 15%
Berkeley IGS 11/08/2023 4,506 LV ±2.5% 43% - 9% 4% 29% 15%

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
California Winner
Biden
Clinton
Bush
Ford
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Bush
Carter
2020
2016
1988
1976