2024 New Hampshire Democratic Primary

Date: January 23, 2024
Delegates: 10 (10 pledged, 0 automatic)
Allocation:
  • Normally, pledged delegates are earned on the statewide vote as well as the vote in individual congressional districts.
  • In each case, allocation is proportional to candidates receiving 15% or more support.
  • Due to party sanctions, it remains unclear if or when delegates will be allocated.
Notes:
  • Date set by Secretary of State to maintain 'first in the nation' primary status required by state law.
  • However, it violates 2024 Democratic calendar rules.
  • The penalty is a loss of pledged delegates, from 23 to 10 and a loss of voting rights for the nine automatic delegates.
  • Additionally, no delegates can be won by anyone that actively campaigned in the state.
  • President Biden did not register, although he will receive votes via write-in.
  • The state primary for offices other than president is September 10.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Phillips Williamson Other
Poll Averages† 62.2% 14.2% 5.0% -
Emerson College 1/21/2024 467 LV ±4.5% 61% 16% 5% 18%
American Research Group 1/21/2024 600 LV ±4% 54% 32% 3% 11%
CNN / Univ. of New Hampshire 1/21/2024 775 LV ±3.5% 63% 10% 9% 18%
American Research Group 1/16/2024 600 LV ±4% 58% 28% 3% 11%
American Research Group 1/11/2024 600 LV ±4% 58% 26% 4% 12%
Emerson College 1/11/2024 590 RV ±4% 49% 16% 5% 30%
Suffolk University 1/09/2024 318 LV ±5.5% 64% 6% 2% 28%
Granite State Poll 1/09/2024 643 LV ±3.9% 69% 7% 6% 18%
American Research Group 1/04/2024 600 LV ±4% 58% 21% 5% 16%
co/efficient 12/21/2023 1,016 LV ±3.1% 38% 7% 7% 48%
Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.